MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0235a1bf063ee72029bfca7e13c38e640d1b13f7961f36d85ed2f0859a55ee10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,050,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,057,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,050,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 720,779$384,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384,399.89 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 224,562$106,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,690.14 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 195,569$83,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,813.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 104,979$47,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,738.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 41,000$18,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,140 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 34,752$13,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,313.69 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 28,387$15,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,515.08 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 26,411$11,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,526 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 21,000$7,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,343.7 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 18,623$7,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,023.95 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 13,689$7,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,391.86 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…ab5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 12,600$5,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,307.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 10,231$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,729.36 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 9,934$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.43 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 9,909$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 8,500$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 8,404$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.11 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 7,307$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.3 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 6,839$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 6,445$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,892.52 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 6,142$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.54 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 6,059$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.27 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 4,900$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.47 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 4,767$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.78 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,730$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.58 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,530$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a5a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 4,273$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.64 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 3,939$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.84 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,675$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.63 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.96 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…f2b5backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 2,847$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,379$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.75 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.43 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,048$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 1c | 2,039$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 1,702$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.52 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,673$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 1,669$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,572$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,409$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 1,303$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.79 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 1,257$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.01 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,114$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.74 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 1c | 1,030$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 990$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 960$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 888$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…5ef0backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 837.38$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 800$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.17 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 768.04$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.78 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 753.67$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.6 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 689.62$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.96 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 530.89$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.24 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 517.95$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.87 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 510.2$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.12 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 500$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 493.8$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.59 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 444.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 430$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 429.82$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.29 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…ec19backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 426.6$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 407.44$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.87 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 391.3$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 363.29$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.28 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 357.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 338.25$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 327.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.86 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 325$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 271.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.55 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 253.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 253$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 236$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.84 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 229.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.02 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 227.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 224.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 216.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.