TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x968b…87f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$38.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,375.03
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$473
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$922.62
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,738Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$1,613.92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$194
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$660
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs STATE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$322
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$950
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.1
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Bbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$900
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$35.24
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,783.09
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$1,820
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,008
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,160
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$176
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,215
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$740
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$31.91
PARIVISION to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Xtreme Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$805.99
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.98
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$585
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,725Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$575
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$780.02
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$500
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$315
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$390
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$2,280
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,228.23
LoL: VfB eSports vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$190.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$133.45
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$92.3
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.6
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$96.72
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.1
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$88.9
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$440
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+82.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-65.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$975
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$675
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ludovit Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.