Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa7513156c7055853538665a3c92b9f5b23de62549853207b6077f3d09ba6a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof T1, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,864,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,132,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,864,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 919 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed T1 | 57c | 138,021$78,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,654.55 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 85,775$50,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,143.31 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 63,222$39,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,182.59 | 408 | 51.7%211 W · 197 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…1468backed T1 | 56c | 40,229$22,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,359.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 38,900$9,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,564 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | +17.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 35,754$9,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,666.93 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed T1 | 75c | 35,490$26,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,497.73 | 1,158 | 49.2%570 W · 588 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked T1 | 74c | 34,500$25,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,464.7 | 575 | 46.3%266 W · 309 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 34,477$8,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,302.14 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked T1 | 32c | 31,631$9,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,967.1 | 1,300 | 45.2%587 W · 713 L | +50.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…8a43backed T1 | 47c | 30,644$14,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,362.23 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…d48fbacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 28,500$10,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,314.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…e76bbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 28,327$20,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,848.31 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 22,905$12,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,330.3 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec8…3a77backed T1 | 29c | 22,725$6,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,636.17 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed T1 | 20c | 21,507$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.34 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 21,475$13,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,431.63 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked T1 | 43c | 19,650$8,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,395.46 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 19,122$5,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,623.8 | 644 | 55.6%358 W · 286 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed T1 | 76c | 18,555$14,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,101.98 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…f081backed T1 | 75c | 18,386$13,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,789.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 18,243$11,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.35 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Karmine Corp | 32c | 18,077$5,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,260.49 | 1,267 | 37.7%478 W · 789 L | +35.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…c18bbacked T1 | 45c | 17,350$7,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,827 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 16,809$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,809.81 | 584 | 57.7%337 W · 247 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 16,602$8,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,981.43 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…4394backed T1 | 34c | 16,000$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed T1 | 64c | 15,500$9,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,849.98 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 15,390$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,696.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 15,304$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,262.75 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…98a4backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 14,028$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.08 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed T1 | 2c | 14,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +277.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed T1 | 76c | 13,157$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.3 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaf…1779backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 12,367$6,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed T1 | 74c | 12,350$9,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,127.29 | 356 | 48.9%174 W · 182 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed T1 | 26c | 12,142$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.93 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 11,793$5,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,219.7 | 814 | 43.5%354 W · 460 L | +30.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 11,066$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,410.26 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…a469backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 10,541$7,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked T1 | 51c | 10,008$5,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,091.6 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.98 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…7ffebacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 10,000$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,848.61 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +18.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 9,550$7,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.65 | 484 | 49.8%241 W · 243 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 9,453$5,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.17 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 9,399$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330.03 | 356 | 54.8%195 W · 161 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked T1 | 63c | 9,000$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660 | 1,223 | 48.6%594 W · 629 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked T1 | 57c | 8,983$5,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,117.51 | 343 | 51.3%176 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed T1 | 73c | 8,554$6,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,236.69 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked T1 | 74c | 8,430$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,238.2 | 704 | 62.1%437 W · 267 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…bd7fbacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 8,000$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.66 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 7,871$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,790.16 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp | 25c | 7,068$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300.81 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed T1 | 77c | 7,000$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…3395backed T1 | 75c | 6,580$4,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,934.81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 6,487$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,586.64 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…e82abacked T1 | 63c | 6,342$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 152 | 67.1%102 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 6,264$4,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.53 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 6,069$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.37 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…1a6ebacked T1 | 31c | 5,832$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.33 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 5,465$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.54 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 5,437$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.95 | 348 | 58%202 W · 146 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a7…ba10backed T1 | 75c | 5,260$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 5,250$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.91 | 344 | 48.8%168 W · 176 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 5,115$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.04 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…a5d3backed T1 | 76c | 5,090$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 331 | 53.2%176 W · 155 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked T1 | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 545 | 55.2%301 W · 244 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…3455backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed T1 | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 231 | 41.1%95 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…78e4backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked T1 | 62c | 4,815$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed T1 | 73c | 4,813$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.55 | 1,596 | 53.7%857 W · 739 L | +56.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 4,661$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.93 | 391 | 40.4%158 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 4,649$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed T1 | 52c | 4,591$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.89 | 174 | 39.7%69 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed T1 | 52c | 4,591$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.83 | 455 | 47.7%217 W · 238 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked T1 | 77c | 4,500$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465 | 300 | 44%132 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.82 | 517 | 48.2%249 W · 268 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed T1 | 58c | 4,340$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.72 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…fbcfbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 4,250$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.96 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +25.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 4,202$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…2a2dbacked Karmine Corp | 34c | 4,000$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.89 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 3,960$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.27 | 309 | 47.2%146 W · 163 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed T1 | 59c | 3,943$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.7 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked T1 | 46c | 3,792$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.82 | 596 | 58.2%347 W · 249 L | -29.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 3,765$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.24 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…b419backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 3,661$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.03 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked T1 | 43c | 3,526$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.69 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 3,505$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.69 | 861 | 36.2%312 W · 549 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked T1 | 35c | 3,474$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 243 | 26.7%65 W · 178 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 3,445$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 329 | 55.6%183 W · 146 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…f17dbacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 3,432$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 3,375$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.74 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644d…6cf8backed T1 | 76c | 3,300$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed T1 | 74c | 3,237$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.53 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked T1 | 65c | 3,187$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.85 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 3,148$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.43 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 2?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.