Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdb3ed7ad1eec544f5e06715f3ec77c793cdf0ad064a55023b5f75c788475d0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ca9…02e1backed Under | 51c | 3,846$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 48c | 1,117$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Under | 4c | 827.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 19c | 637.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 967 | 49.8%482 W · 485 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 595 | 48.2%287 W · 308 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 48c | 486.46$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 49c | 401.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.83 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 348 | 68.4%238 W · 110 L | +23.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Over | 48c | 247.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 50c | 240.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 48c | 187.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Over | 65c | 153.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 305 | 43.9%134 W · 171 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 52c | 127.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Over | 48c | 126.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 65c | 120.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Over | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Over | 55c | 98.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Over | 66c | 98.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 52c | 96.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 40c | 95.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 55c | 84.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 74.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Over | 55c | 69.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Under | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…db7abacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 55c | 53.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 49c | 35.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…1e7ebacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 2?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.