Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2da99f0914272db50a1f7945b122ff246ace52ee9899582a358be5453494a57e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,923,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,346,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,923,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Karmine Corp | 2c | 122,695$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.75 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 72,849$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.64 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 62,410$17,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,474.78 | 224 | 51.8%116 W · 108 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed Karmine Corp | 2c | 53,842$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.56 | 305 | 46.9%143 W · 162 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed T1 | 79c | 40,427$31,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,578.11 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp | 19c | 40,425$7,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,838.73 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Karmine Corp | 12c | 34,435$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,072.77 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 26,364$6,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,626.51 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked T1 | 72c | 25,900$18,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,252 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Karmine Corp | 23c | 25,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,749.97 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked T1 | 77c | 23,000$17,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…1468backed T1 | 72c | 22,288$16,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Karmine Corp | 12c | 17,216$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.88 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…801abacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 15,517$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Karmine Corp | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +277.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed T1 | 80c | 14,719$11,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.16 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed T1 | 73c | 14,322$10,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916.98 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 13,473$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.23 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp | 28c | 12,500$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.99 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 11,881$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.8 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked T1 | 76c | 11,336$8,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.59 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 11,222$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.19 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 5c | 10,589$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.82 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…3d04backed Karmine Corp | 0c | 10,420$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked T1 | 74c | 10,250$7,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked T1 | 72c | 10,235$7,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.8 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed T1 | 72c | 10,056$7,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.13 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Karmine Corp | 6c | 10,047$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf367…551ebacked Karmine Corp | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…7ffebacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +19.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed T1 | 75c | 9,898$7,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.64 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…4998backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 9,779$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 184 | 29.9%55 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Karmine Corp | 2c | 8,503$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…a469backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 8,302$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed T1 | 73c | 8,245$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.95 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Karmine Corp | 3c | 8,056$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.11 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 7,930$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.4 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Karmine Corp | 3c | 7,702$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaf…1779backed T1 | 73c | 7,427$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.32 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea4…be49backed Karmine Corp | 3c | 7,298$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.42 | 127 | 17.3%22 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…068abacked Karmine Corp | 4c | 7,285$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.9 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked T1 | 69c | 7,224$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.32 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…5336backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…1c50backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 6,598$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…00e9backed Karmine Corp | 4c | 5,982$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.34 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked T1 | 77c | 5,948$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.52 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed T1 | 72c | 5,556$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.56 | 236 | 72%170 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…e82abacked T1 | 73c | 5,479$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.45 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Karmine Corp | 25c | 5,038$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.45 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed Karmine Corp | 15c | 5,014$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked T1 | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked T1 | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…8eecbacked Karmine Corp | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Karmine Corp | 5c | 5,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed T1 | 72c | 4,998$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.38 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked T1 | 75c | 4,649$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.63 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Karmine Corp | 0c | 4,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a7…ba10backed T1 | 73c | 4,037$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp | 5c | 3,775$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Karmine Corp | 4c | 3,750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp | 18c | 3,707$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.99 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…b419backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 3,674$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.59 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…07c0backed Karmine Corp | 0c | 3,600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Karmine Corp | 28c | 3,576$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 42.7%122 W · 164 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 452 | 48%217 W · 235 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…6452backed Karmine Corp | 5c | 3,391$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 75 | 82.7%62 W · 13 L | +18.1wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked Karmine Corp | 11c | 3,300$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.2 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…772cbacked Karmine Corp | 18c | 3,263$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked Karmine Corp | 9c | 3,156$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 218 | 28.4%62 W · 156 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Karmine Corp | 14c | 3,111$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.83 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…5290backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed T1 | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 2,973$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.52 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Karmine Corp | 0c | 2,949$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Karmine Corp | 9c | 2,836$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.1 | 293 | 31.4%92 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 2,750$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.5 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karmine Corp | 23c | 2,672$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.14 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked T1 | 75c | 2,659$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.01 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed T1 | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…8b41backed Karmine Corp | 4c | 2,452$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed T1 | 74c | 2,402$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.5 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed T1 | 75c | 2,394$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.43 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…bd7fbacked Karmine Corp | 20c | 2,370$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.58 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Karmine Corp | 26c | 2,308$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked T1 | 77c | 2,165$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.98 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed T1 | 73c | 2,152$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.04 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp | 5c | 2,067$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 2,050$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Karmine Corp | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 26.7%65 W · 178 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked T1 | 79c | 2,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked T1 | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 294 | 43.2%127 W · 167 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…11fbbacked T1 | 76c | 1,954$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.95 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…80f3backed Karmine Corp | 20c | 1,834$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Karmine Corp | 18c | 1,833$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked T1 | 75c | 1,833$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.99 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…9ef4backed Karmine Corp | 6c | 1,819$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 252 | 52.4%132 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 1,801$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.18 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Karmine Corp | 14c | 1,800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 1,785$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 2?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.