Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28243f188fb721c9c5436df1802f495cc305ddf60e0d028222da5ddec16e4d28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof T1, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 24,096$9,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,216.54 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed T1 | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 236 | 72%170 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,849.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 12,804$5,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,426.44 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 10,500$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,195 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…369bbacked T1 | 59c | 10,376$6,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,121.88 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed T1 | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed T1 | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.95 | 288 | 59%170 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 9,898$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240.87 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed T1 | 58c | 9,556$5,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,542.72 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 8,532$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.15 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 7,476$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.04 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 7,126$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.19 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…c2d7backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed T1 | 60c | 5,646$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.6 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed T1 | 66c | 5,568$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675.13 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…4ef1backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked T1 | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 294 | 43.2%127 W · 167 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 4,500$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.99 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked T1 | 58c | 4,443$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.95 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed T1 | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.97 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed T1 | 59c | 3,871$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.51 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed T1 | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.74 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 2,600$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed T1 | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…34c2backed T1 | 59c | 2,495$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed T1 | 58c | 2,121$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.15 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 2,100$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked T1 | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 292 | 36%105 W · 187 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed T1 | 63c | 1,750$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.39 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…3499backed T1 | 58c | 1,719$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.18 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked T1 | 59c | 1,699$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.31 | 384 | 62%238 W · 146 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked T1 | 59c | 1,644$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f7…a5e1backed T1 | 60c | 1,635$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.75 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked T1 | 58c | 1,550$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -9.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.35 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…4f24backed T1 | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.99 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed T1 | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.96 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 1,482$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.51 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed T1 | 59c | 1,349$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.99 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed T1 | 60c | 1,184$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.2 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…4277backed T1 | 65c | 1,137$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.73 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked T1 | 57c | 1,129$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.55 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked T1 | 57c | 1,090$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.89 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…afdbbacked T1 | 59c | 1,020$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.97 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked T1 | 59c | 1,012$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.3 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…8a43backed T1 | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed T1 | 67c | 999.99$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.99 | 199 | 59.8%119 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…a26ebacked T1 | 59c | 999.97$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.98 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 915.64$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.07 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…c1bebacked T1 | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed T1 | 59c | 844.91$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed T1 | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 796.24$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.78 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed T1 | 60c | 747.75$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.65 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +98%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed T1 | 59c | 706.99$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.12 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked T1 | 72c | 649.89$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.92 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 638$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.28 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 623.44$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.83 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed T1 | 54c | 619.6$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.17 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked T1 | 61c | 606.66$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.17 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 560.74$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 549.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.05 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed T1 | 73c | 543.34$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.9 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…03d6backed T1 | 57c | 527.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 512$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.32 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…3bbebacked T1 | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…2c34backed T1 | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked T1 | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked T1 | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 484.77$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.66 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed T1 | 77c | 470.19$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.01 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed T1 | 52c | 459$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.77 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed T1 | 60c | 446.67$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed T1 | 59c | 435$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed T1 | 58c | 426.61$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.43 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked T1 | 59c | 395.53$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.36 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…a946backed T1 | 77c | 388.42$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a63…5b30backed T1 | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…9d52backed T1 | 59c | 334.07$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 332.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.95 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed T1 | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed T1 | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked T1 | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…a40cbacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 211 | 33.2%70 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a2…aa49backed T1 | 60c | 284.95$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Karmine Corp | 41c | 263.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.41 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked T1 | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 2?Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.