TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c65…4f24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT7657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,502.97
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.05
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$329.97
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$469.98
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$125.13
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.98
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$312
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$402.9
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$288.23
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,650
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.99
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.5
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs MIBR.LOS (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$585
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$304.96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$306
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$375
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,050
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$304.5
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.96
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$699.99
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,361Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,692.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.