Spread: England (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40e2282a59c796c9ddb71c41988c7f3db484734fbe53972fee0d12ff172ce74c

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ghanaof England, Ghana
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,407,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,362,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,407,577 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,843 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Ghana	46c	1,372,461$637,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734,682.64	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2dd…4a23backed England	55c	545,453$299,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299,999.26	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c6a…0f47backed England	56c	535,713$299,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299,999.31	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Ghana	38c	466,000$177,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288,919.84	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Ghana	42c	402,981$167,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235,058.8	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67a…f0b6backed England	51c	392,155$199,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199,999.28	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.6wins	-0.27per pick	51cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed England	62c	283,372$175,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175,690.52	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked England	61c	230,000$139,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139,600	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ghana	62c	191,540$118,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,135.76	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Ghana	37c	180,928$66,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113,984.8	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ghana	51c	144,561$73,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,483.21	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed England	63c	100,000$63,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63,000	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked England	63c	100,000$63,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63,000	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Ghana	37c	99,999$37,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,999.45	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked England	63c	89,737$56,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,259.15	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England	18c	83,202$15,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,083.26	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed England	42c	79,901$33,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,824.57	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Ghana	40c	75,959$30,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,575.51	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England	52c	75,104$39,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,372.18	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Ghana	39c	71,180$27,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,212.93	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed England	63c	68,861$43,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,040.36	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed England	58c	50,000$29,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,999.99	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked England	33c	44,394$14,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,650.04	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England	61c	35,204$21,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,426.95	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd07…2229backed England	63c	31,746$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Ghana	67c	30,909$20,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,199.97	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Ghana	38c	29,697$11,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,412.37	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Ghana	38c	26,539$10,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,453.92	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Ghana	38c	26,316$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,315.79	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ghana	45c	25,582$11,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,127.82	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed England	62c	23,000$14,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,260	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed England	63c	22,500$14,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,175	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed England	49c	21,409$10,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,440	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Ghana	44c	21,203$9,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,782.77	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Ghana	44c	20,000$8,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,200	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked England	63c	20,000$12,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,600	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Ghana	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,199.99	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Ghana	40c	19,841$8,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,805.53	228	46.9%107 W · 121 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed England	61c	19,672$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Ghana	37c	19,500$7,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,284.85	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Ghana	44c	18,501$8,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,340.21	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x760f…326abacked Ghana	38c	18,421$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,421.05	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60fe…f557backed England	57c	18,173$10,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,293.97	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked England	60c	16,667$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Ghana	42c	16,667$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,666.67	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed England	60c	15,537$9,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,379.72	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed England	61c	15,000$9,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,150	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ghana	39c	13,833$5,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,493.07	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed England	62c	13,000$8,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,060	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Ghana	38c	13,000$4,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,060	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Ghana	39c	12,052$4,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,407.9	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Ghana	39c	10,912$4,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,650.56	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed England	14c	10,714$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Ghana	40c	10,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,000	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Ghana	43c	10,000$4,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,699.92	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Ghana	39c	9,706$3,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,920.44	100	56%56 W · 44 L	+11.6wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed England	62c	9,441$5,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,853.34	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked England	42c	9,440$3,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,982.67	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed England	63c	9,111$5,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,739.93	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Ghana	39c	9,035$3,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,555.94	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ghana	37c	9,000$3,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,669.9	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked England	63c	8,413$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ghana	59c	8,301$4,924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,377.35	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed England	34c	8,291$2,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,781.81	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked England	40c	8,021$3,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,226.77	278	45.7%127 W · 151 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed England	63c	8,000$5,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,040	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Ghana	48c	8,000$3,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,140	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed England	57c	8,000$4,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,539.98	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac35…c2d4backed England	63c	7,937$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ghana	38c	7,876$3,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,868	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Ghana	39c	7,500$2,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,604.99	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Ghana	39c	7,500$2,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,604.96	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Ghana	37c	6,907$2,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,351.38	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked England	63c	6,828$4,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,301.64	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked England	62c	6,667$4,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,133.54	79	62%49 W · 30 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked England	47c	6,365$2,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,977.04	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed England	63c	5,843$3,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,681	79	72.2%57 W · 22 L	+10.3wins	+0.13per pick	59cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6305…9d0bbacked England	62c	5,645$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Ghana	74c	5,557$4,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,457.35	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed England	31c	5,555$1,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,722.04	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed England	63c	5,511$3,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,471.95	205	47.3%97 W · 108 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed England	28c	5,487$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,533.94	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ghana	45c	5,454$2,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,014.25	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed England	63c	5,287$3,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,330.67	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked England	48c	5,161$2,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,497.52	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed England	63c	5,079$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-6.4wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Ghana	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed England	58c	5,000$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,899.85	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed England	62c	4,840$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	301	40.5%122 W · 179 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Ghana	39c	4,835$1,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,956.78	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d5…53bfbacked Ghana	47c	4,793$2,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,517.46	105	60%63 W · 42 L	+11.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked England	63c	4,762$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked England	33c	4,716$1,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,556.28	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ghana	38c	4,605$1,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,855.1	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1129…6f00backed England	63c	4,551$2,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,867.14	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Ghana	39c	4,507$1,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,770.83	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked England	60c	4,480$2,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,710	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Ghana	49c	4,280$2,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.8	154	59.7%92 W · 62 L	+20.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed England	36c	4,167$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	214	42.5%91 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed England	62c	4,032$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	274	33.9%93 W · 181 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: England (-1.5)this page
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: England (-2.5)Ghana won
Spread: England (-3.5)Ghana won
Spread: England (-4.5)Ghana won
Spread: England (-5.5)Ghana won
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)England won
Spread: Ghana (-2.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: England (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event