Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: England (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56f673bc0de3165e4bd13819925ff65e0be5d6067f306f205e07ad00f57c9d7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ghanaof England, Ghana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed England | 12c | 120,901$15,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,046.48 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed England | 8c | 60,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed England | 11c | 15,121$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.16 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3c01backed England | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked England | 10c | 1,909$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed England | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…03d3backed England | 10c | 1,080$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked England | 8c | 1,010$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…09f1backed England | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed England | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…a7ecbacked England | 11c | 866.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…9b84backed England | 5c | 525$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 152 | 35.5%54 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked England | 11c | 513.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed England | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…f2bebacked England | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 29.7%71 W · 168 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed England | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked England | 3c | 485.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed England | 11c | 455.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…5eb3backed England | 11c | 431.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked England | 8c | 427$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked England | 9c | 368.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61f…35a6backed England | 10c | 359.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked England | 12c | 322.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked England | 12c | 315.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked England | 7c | 210.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed England | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b8…4ab2backed England | 11c | 189.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed England | 11c | 188.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…4c7abacked England | 11c | 185.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…aa7cbacked England | 11c | 182.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed England | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…9c4cbacked England | 9c | 146.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked England | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…231dbacked England | 10c | 103.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…efadbacked England | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed England | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…913bbacked England | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: England (-4.5)this page
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.