TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,240 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over2c20,550$426 inLost-$426.24,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over2c13,009$283 inLost-$283.4365737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742d…020dbacked Over12c6,442$792 inLost-$791.833020%6 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over4c6,053$236 inLost-$235.7414612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c3,144$345 inLost-$345.354,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over8c2,000$160 inLost-$160529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over2c1,999$36 inLost-$35.9910535.2%37 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over12c1,667$200 inLost-$20025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over11c1,365$150 inLost-$150.152,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Over10c1,001$100 inLost-$1009515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb11…8f3fbacked Over11c1,000$110 inLost-$1105846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd296…084dbacked Over2c999.99$21 inLost-$2112045%54 W · 66 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over4c872$38 inLost-$38.231,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9aa…6628backed Over12c843.34$101 inLost-$101.13030%9 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over6c750$42 inLost-$41.522623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c750$23 inLost-$22.52,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over4c744.37$28 inLost-$28.072,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over8c722.57$58 inLost-$58.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c676.8$17 inLost-$16.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over12c583.33$70 inLost-$7017938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over3c479.99$13 inLost-$12.9619823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over12c416.67$50 inLost-$5014620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Over9c380.24$34 inLost-$34.2212947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0409…a2febacked Over11c272.73$30 inLost-$302814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over11c181.82$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Over11c181.2$20 inLost-$2012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over11c150$17 inLost-$16.546525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over10c110.45$11 inLost-$11.041,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over10c110.19$11 inLost-$11.021,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7698…57c0backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.