Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60a0f4dbee09d48d61377b9a58c94e937408d0d72916c162271de5d36381da2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 4c | 7,982$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.07 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 2,385$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.99 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6d…7aaebacked Over | 23c | 716.72$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 21c | 699.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Over | 21c | 567.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over | 20c | 499.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Over | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Over | 21c | 307.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 22c | 242.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…8f23backed Over | 22c | 228.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 79c | 206.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 79c | 163.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 79c | 157.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Over | 22c | 138.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Over | 12c | 106.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…078fbacked Over | 22c | 76.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…7dd1backed Over | 23c | 74.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…6129backed Over | 21c | 51.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 21c | 48.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 79c | 39.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 78c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 79c | 14.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 80c | 13.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.