Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d911c851a23cac3c148aa141da6b5a9449727589a0575c03e99e30043ad7977
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 46c | 4,421$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.21 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 58c | 4,131$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.72 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…5fa9backed Over | 35c | 2,491$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.98 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 67c | 2,090$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.65 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 45c | 1,622$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.7 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 1,493$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.42 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 1,134$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.62 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 45c | 1,039$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.58 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 623.54$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…741dbacked Over | 17c | 370.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 47c | 363$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.47 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 54c | 297.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 50c | 283.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 47c | 281$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 238.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Under | 64c | 219$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e8…2aabbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Under | 49c | 204.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 199.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 48c | 195.73$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 50c | 181.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…a43abacked Over | 46c | 150.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 44c | 145.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 55c | 143.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 45c | 134.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…682abacked Over | 54c | 128.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 45c | 113.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed Over | 49c | 94.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Over | 59c | 84.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 49c | 80.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 68.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Under | 47c | 60.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 50c | 58.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3ac1backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -68%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…c5c2backed Over | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 47.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac6…783ebacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b8…993abacked Under | 57c | 44.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…ba99backed Over | 47c | 40.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 47c | 29.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 43c | 26.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…3c08backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Under | 47c | 21.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…1945backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Ghana won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.