TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,243,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,186,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,243,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c391,333$188,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,696.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over63c270,691$170,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170,528.3442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a9…df76backed Over64c154,000$98,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,560250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over64c123,528$79,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,018.292,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under36c104,830$37,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,090.989345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under37c88,152$32,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,727.4829740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under53c86,440$45,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,034.9464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over64c84,095$53,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,820.873571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over64c80,000$51,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,20022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Under37c66,700$24,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,021.1614843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over63c65,595$41,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,515.741,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Under36c62,252$22,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,841.156546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c51,107$25,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,274.192,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Under36c50,061$18,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,038.898046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under36c48,621$17,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,117.188440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over36c41,613$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c40,000$23,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,208.952,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over48c37,812$18,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,189.482,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under36c35,967$12,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,019.0821333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under46c31,115$14,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,707.1242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over22c30,403$6,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,638.8514829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under36c30,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,20025844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over53c29,312$15,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,535.153321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under37c27,027$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,027.0228229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under37c25,278$9,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,925.456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Under36c25,109$9,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,070.048048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Under36c24,150$8,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,4566634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under36c21,000$7,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,440.0525038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ee…90e6backed Under36c20,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,8002161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+70.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under40c19,843$7,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,005.3122846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over1c19,009$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.773,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over44c18,828$8,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,281.6177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over26c18,683$4,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,857.18723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over15c18,600$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7904932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd67…ef90backed Under39c17,506$6,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,678.772356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Over64c15,625$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0007244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under47c15,337$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,086.35543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Under37c15,164$5,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,553.462548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over61c15,000$9,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1506943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under36c15,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac35…c2d4backed Over64c14,959$9,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,573.731643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under36c14,000$5,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,9201,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked Over36c13,889$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000180%0 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over64c12,500$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under50c12,033$6,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,959.3322450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Over64c10,938$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0008316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over36c10,905$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,940.991,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Under46c10,707$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,750.177545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c10,491$5,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,618.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over64c10,073$6,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,446.729846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Over63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3004938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed Over19c10,000$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.58041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.9624058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.9438026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under36c9,780$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,222.271,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over46c8,781$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Over64c8,594$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5006154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed Under36c8,560$3,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,478.46053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under38c8,559$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,285.4820044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over63c8,285$5,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,219.5538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Over62c8,000$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9604841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c7,911$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.51,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Over64c7,813$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b8…7e74backed Over64c7,813$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd07…2229backed Over64c7,813$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under37c7,807$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,901.482,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over64c7,777$4,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,977.2714045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over21c6,750$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under46c6,556$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,562.7236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over58c6,128$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570.317733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c5,926$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under37c5,637$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.461,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under37c5,622$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,537.1548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over20c5,555$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11132029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under37c5,500$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,464.9447643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under68c5,310$3,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.5812846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c5,034$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.132,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under37c5,000$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.9547144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Under36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.956662.1%41 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Under38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.799048.9%44 W · 46 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under37c4,898$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,081.8850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under38c4,852$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.2470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over62c4,839$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00030140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39e…e7c7backed Over64c4,688$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Over47c4,616$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.336741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over30c4,507$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.3374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x623b…b1f8backed Over64c4,400$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,81610757%61 W · 46 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under37c4,332$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.437448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Over64c4,158$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.819349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over39c4,078$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.521,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.995554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under37c4,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.9840655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under40c4,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.9238526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under37c3,755$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.051,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c3,678$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.071,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9930054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.