TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ghanaof England, Ghana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,814,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,817,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,814,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 918 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Ghana62c856,203$527,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328,348.5377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed England39c769,229$299,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299,999.152147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ghana60c451,209$272,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178,950.5574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ghana64c436,846$278,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158,649.854,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed England40c250,000$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed England38c138,234$52,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,529.031,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Ghana64c113,425$72,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,300.3715249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England30c113,210$34,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,196.62,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Ghana61c100,000$61,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,0002548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked England39c100,000$38,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,5003525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed England33c100,000$32,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,499.9626320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked England38c86,638$32,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,855.9242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked England38c82,815$31,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,328.872,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Ghana61c73,768$44,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,769.486953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed England38c64,952$24,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,681.72748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed England39c55,000$21,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,45017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Ghana61c49,180$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,180.3310457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed England33c40,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.959323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Ghana61c38,605$23,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,056.117342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed England36c37,133$13,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,367.887345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c14…f82bbacked England39c30,000$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,700520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-68.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked England38c25,746$9,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,783.58826.1%23 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc3…9ab5backed England40c24,732$9,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,892.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed England36c21,994$7,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,908.224,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked England37c21,111$7,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,811.067050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked England39c21,005$8,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,188.918158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed England38c20,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,60022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed England38c17,491$6,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,646.7436031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Ghana68c16,183$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,182.516953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed England40c15,555$6,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,22214045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Ghana61c15,528$9,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,055.9213448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fe…f557backed England40c15,192$6,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,076.921533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed England39c15,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8509823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Ghana63c14,489$9,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,430.69662.5%60 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed England37c13,540$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked England39c12,878$5,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,022.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid+44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed England14c11,715$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.121,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed England34c11,602$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9607744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ghana62c10,032$6,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,841.741,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed England39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9005349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed England20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed England29c9,799$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.7117748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ghana62c9,710$6,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked England36c9,360$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,369.6918738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Ghana61c8,197$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.7217443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Ghana61c8,197$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.7211645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Ghana63c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9607147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Ghana61c7,973$4,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.4310059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed England38c7,895$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed England39c7,692$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed England39c7,692$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003040%12 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed England39c7,596$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Ghana61c6,586$4,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.471,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Ghana60c6,570$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.081,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked England38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2808735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked England37c5,342$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ghana61c5,226$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.892,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed England39c5,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Ghana63c5,042$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.4821849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd07…2229backed England40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed England38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Ghana61c5,000$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,97050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed England37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85020044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f65…55d2backed England40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Ghana60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Ghana67c4,787$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.455352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Ghana61c4,544$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.2920547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed England26c4,188$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.57538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked England24c4,084$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.8451032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked England18c4,064$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.943312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Ghana61c4,033$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.8728162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked England39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56012536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Ghana64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9919148.2%92 W · 99 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked England39c3,846$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed England24c3,773$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.5223036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Ghana61c3,709$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.6647643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Ghana62c3,651$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.192236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Ghana61c3,615$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.5647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked England40c3,595$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4206246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ghana73c3,587$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.163,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed England38c3,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3309126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed England38c3,406$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.8214554.5%79 W · 66 L+12.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Ghana62c3,390$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.7465948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed England40c3,250$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30012634.9%44 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…0824backed Ghana62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.816155.7%34 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a77…8b53backed Ghana65c3,048$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.081258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed England34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0208337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Ghana61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Ghana61c2,949$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.111,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked England36c2,905$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.257824.4%19 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Ghana62c2,835$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.7829449%144 W · 150 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Ghana61c2,800$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked England38c2,797$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.7513237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Ghana62c2,668$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.612,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked England39c2,667$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.17962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked England39c2,513$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98020053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed England40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005448.1%26 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed England39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed England40c2,449$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.415356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed England39c2,308$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.