TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee67…ef38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
237
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 64 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$6,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,063.86
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,808.36
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,999.95
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,890.19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41,264.42
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$41,109.95
Mexico leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,120.74
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,318.34
Paraguay vs. France: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$9,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$20,100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,200
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,999.95
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.6
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,357.26
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.03
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58,945.57
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,200
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,178.02
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49,691.71
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,200
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,928Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,743
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,034.09
Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 2 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.33
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT6048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Champions League — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,100
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$134,999.87
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,999.71
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,944.28
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,424.12
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$89,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$89,672.23
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.57
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$9,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,489.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,485.2
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$4,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,963.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,468.97
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,871Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+408.4%+$23,978
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+162.2%+$43,299.93
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41,616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$34,483.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32,499.65
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23,213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+463.1%+$107,494.03
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$55,772.71
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46,303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+195.4%+$90,482.89
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,098.45
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.91
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,471.83
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$198,690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+131.9%+$261,974.56
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,998.09
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90,334.1
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$6,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,137.31
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,237.59
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20,399.93
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$4,199.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,099.9
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.34
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$282.05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148,734Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+103.7%+$154,168.94
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,775.65
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$22,999.87
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8,599.93
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,604Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,808.33
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$3,999.66
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,619Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+57.5%+$3,230.07
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,458.91
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$712.92
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$185.56
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$50.92
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$5,600
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.2%+$195.63
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$809.02
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed VfL Wolfsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$498.37
FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$61.11
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$38.48
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,775.11
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,673.55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50.65
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125,096Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+65.6%+$82,061.07
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11,274.94
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$8,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,047.83
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$4,199.99
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$9,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$9,497.65
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,599.99
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$10,799.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,599.99
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,972.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,099.92
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$5,250
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$12,199.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$7,605Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+540.4%+$41,092.71
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$540
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,475
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$8,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,800
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$7,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,680.78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,644.26
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230.11
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$11,399.98
Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.51
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.64
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$4,700
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$5,667.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-77.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$479.6
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$32.23
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$459.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,334.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+181.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,093Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+181.2%+$18,288.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$810
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.