La Liga · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e7f3641abb77e72272a67ddef6a8bcedc96e33bfc7a0f045de5b8c9b517b69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $583,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $584,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 0c | 349,428$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 4c | 30,003$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 1c | 20,122$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.63 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 8c | 13,862$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.96 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 5,250$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…e2a4backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 8c | 4,104$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.31 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 10c | 4,010$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.99 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 9c | 2,978$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.02 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 8c | 2,884$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.75 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,584$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 2,504$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…00d5backed Yes | 1c | 2,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 76 | 67.1%51 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,996$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…86dabacked Yes | 3c | 1,668$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,138$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 7c | 1,069$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed Yes | 8c | 1,039$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 7c | 998.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 5c | 996.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…b523backed Yes | 9c | 987.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed Yes | 10c | 953.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 4c | 942.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Yes | 5c | 848.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 6c | 845.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 6c | 796.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 6c | 767.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 9c | 765.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 9c | 760.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 9c | 725.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…992abacked Yes | 10c | 709.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 11c | 602.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Yes | 10c | 590.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes | 6c | 589.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed Yes | 8c | 562.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 8c | 558.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 11c | 542.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes | 9c | 525.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 9c | 493.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8a59backed Yes | 6c | 479.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes | 4c | 416.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 11c | 344.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…d39abacked Yes | 7c | 329.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf771…f65fbacked Yes | 6c | 325.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 7c | 322.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 5c | 310.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 10c | 283.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 9c | 262.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 9c | 261.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 9c | 259.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes | 11c | 256.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 10c | 249.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…5ffcbacked Yes | 11c | 247.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 8c | 237.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 11c | 230.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 6c | 225.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Yes | 9c | 224.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 8c | 212.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -62%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…b586backed Yes | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…ba40backed Yes | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc1…0cc3backed Yes | 9c | 206.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 9c | 199.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…183fbacked Yes | 8c | 188.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Yes | 9c | 162.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…82c8backed Yes | 8c | 158.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…e68bbacked Yes | 9c | 157.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 9c | 144.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes | 9c | 136.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 9c | 129.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Yes | 9c | 127.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Yes | 8c | 124.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…6952backed Yes | 9c | 121.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 12c | 102.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 11c | 94.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.