TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6af5…992a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)backed Deportivo Alavés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)backed Deportivo Alavés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$125
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$59.02
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$862.5
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$862.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$237.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.95
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.91
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.58
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$90.52
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$98.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$234.23
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$77.97
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.78
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.