TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,642 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No75c28,008$21,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,941.6413844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes31c11,990$3,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,716.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes31c11,990$3,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,716.8940357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c11,191$8,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,956.454,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c10,451$7,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.2757839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3744…c141backed Yes35c9,418$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,296.3260%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No69c7,220$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.7384144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes8c6,098$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.8710948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes35c5,902$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec8…762abacked Yes35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes23c4,886$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.761,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No77c3,942$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.652958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c3,459$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes31c2,997$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.2222455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes29c2,885$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.445940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes23c2,865$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c2,809$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.153,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No77c2,159$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.538160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes34c2,105$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.753740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c2,100$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16821322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes13c2,096$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.221,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes35c1,773$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.4969350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes17c1,473$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No79c1,352$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6113658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Yes31c1,272$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.454463.6%28 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…d445backed Yes7c1,242$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.96742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes35c1,100$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3857851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2308246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No77c952.77$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1422246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes8c937.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+122.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes28c904.16$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3658548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes8c900.37$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.534254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes31c798.77$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6228357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes17c750$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No79c743.24$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9141239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe01b…ba4bbacked Yes8c633.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No77c612$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7628045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No77c599.96$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9965356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes9c581.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.212823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c578.17$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9844840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes23c546.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8132645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No77c540$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No79c469.95$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.329931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes22c454.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Yes31c425.42$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.881861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No78c393.59$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.599766%64 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes23c391.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No78c369.82$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3615151%77 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes17c334.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8233734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes23c304.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes23c288.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0114…fbfabacked Yes34c285.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes23c281.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7274657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes34c278.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.672356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes31c261.68$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1219260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes22c239.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.826853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes23c234.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8719840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221b…f7eabacked Yes5c224$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes24c208.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4791…02b4backed Yes17c208.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid+111.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020451.5%105 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes16c181.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309558.9%56 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af5…992abacked Yes7c174.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Yes10c170.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.812052.5%63 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes23c166.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.282516%4 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-60.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x805b…ee0cbacked No67c160.41$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.141428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes9c157.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1810843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed No78c154.76$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.053036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-48.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes23c152.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.977635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa71…8aa0backed Yes38c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes16c148.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.446926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x789a…1ddabacked Yes32c140.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes31c139.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2716456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cc…f15bbacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff48…4836backed Yes35c129.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No72c125$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355366%35 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No71c115.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8610127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Yes22c113.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.061566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes22c109.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1775751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189c…2b05backed Yes14c105.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159721.6%21 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes29c103.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.969354.8%51 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Yes18c102.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.454944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2218158.6%106 W · 75 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.474837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes31c98.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4619555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No73c90.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.922760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes31c89.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.881450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206717.9%12 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.