TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$820,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,015,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $820,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed No40c121,273$48,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,817.610539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes60c57,370$34,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,947.9310450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No8c51,848$4,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,154.686235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes60c40,833$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,333.336832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No17c23,064$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,822.311,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No4c17,327$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.3610948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes64c15,630$10,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,626.812553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No40c14,440$5,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,775.948828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No3c14,013$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.4360732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No35c13,780$4,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,808.6313744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes61c13,198$8,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,162.7440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c13,169$5,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,056.284,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c12,311$7,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,926.082,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes79c10,750$8,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.0156439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…d445backed Yes44c9,928$4,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,559.71742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No39c9,805$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,823.783452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes60c9,649$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.681,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes59c9,197$5,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770.7124147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No44c9,152$4,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,057.8582844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c8,863$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.973,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No8c8,811$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes67c8,798$5,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.845940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No40c8,684$3,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.62045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No40c8,645$3,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4783135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Yes45c6,536$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No39c6,255$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.275831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes45c5,556$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.562133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes60c5,390$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.0714250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No39c5,372$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.1714146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes62c5,323$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.9823727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes61c4,500$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7553743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes45c4,222$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.223240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No55c4,031$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.926946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes51c3,912$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.078343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No8c3,503$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6212823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes60c3,473$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.075440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No40c3,296$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.394938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No41c3,173$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30110245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No40c3,110$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2446555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Yes64c3,090$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6506051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes59c2,864$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.3822448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No37c2,788$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.1592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6043…84afbacked No40c2,504$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x970d…6854backed No40c2,476$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes49c2,465$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.5710938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x503a…f862backed Yes60c2,236$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No41c2,184$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes70c2,149$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.121266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a6…378cbacked Yes60c2,145$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes60c2,112$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.6749447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes60c2,097$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.1719840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8f…99e1backed Yes60c2,040$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.11580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.084456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Yes60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dd…8d59backed No40c1,999$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8976…ebf3backed No40c1,946$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No29c1,894$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.9914951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No40c1,880$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.5848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No45c1,765$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.739561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.92977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.674358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.344454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf375…f105backed Yes61c1,638$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.73953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes59c1,483$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.0535442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes61c1,475$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.411478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes60c1,453$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.054845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes64c1,406$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2514342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes60c1,300$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c1,272$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.8668050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c1,256$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.0143439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed No40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked No41c1,224$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No40c1,200$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1663757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No40c1,130$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.993630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Yes60c1,110$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.852147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6057851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes45c1,017$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.2210636.8%39 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e4…58eabacked Yes43c1,014$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3908246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5105141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes61c983.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.616550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed No41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes60c975.32$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No40c965.22$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.3722246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No40c945.02$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.017560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Yes75c919.33$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No40c917.5$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No32c891.24$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.637653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.332927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe970…d76abacked Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.332080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c804.08$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32819255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No39c799.91$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9621355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes61c789.67$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.974557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.255250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Yes45c777.78$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.785957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.