TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f36…2819

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+604.2%+$1,208.45
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$902.58
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$69.3
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,158.54
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,850.69
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,796.18
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,040.82
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,893Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,970.44
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,000
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$595.74
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$567.87
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$1,715.17
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.67
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+182.3%+$911.28
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.3
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,152.94
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$381.82
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.8
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$2,103.61
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$1,086.96
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandre Muller vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,571.43
Francavilla: Max Schoenhaus vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Libacked Zongyu Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$612.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Jesper de Jongbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguetbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$636.36
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Aix en Provence: Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Cagliari: Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cagliari: Jesper de Jong vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Ostrava: Jonas Forejtek vs Hynek Bartonbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+98%+$980.2
Abidjan 2: Maks Kasnikowski vs Cesar Bouchelaghembacked Cesar Bouchelaghem · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.45
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,466.7
Madrid Open: Iga Swiatek vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$71.63
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$258.53
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.96
Oeiras 4: Polina Kudermetova vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,292.64
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.36
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$699.54
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$39.42
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$86.67
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$111.37
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$196.68
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$75 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$128.69
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$146.11
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$234.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,719.49
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,370.84
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,640.07
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.52
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,125
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.95
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,439.02
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$201.79
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$430.89
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.69
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+245.5%+$9,819.56
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$449.28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+145.3%+$3,269.07
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$819.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.74
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$482.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$718.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Abacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-1.5)backed AA Argentinos Juniors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 59 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.