MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dbd018277c5efdd8b5d40f3231e321843dbc63c8681179d2b64361117a4d0a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $525,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $543,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 60,901$27,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,495.81 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 40,000$21,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,849.94 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 35,328$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 33,333$18,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,333.15 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 30,537$8,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,609.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 30,357$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 25,613$11,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,003.08 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 20,843$11,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,463.61 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf9…f888backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 19,170$15,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 16,304$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,804.35 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0191…93f0backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 15,948$7,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,627.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 13,770$6,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,693.81 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 13,540$6,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,447 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 13,304$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.16 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 12,875$7,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.36 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 11,225$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.5 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 8,492$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 7,145$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 6,985$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 5,626$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.76 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 5,604$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.96 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 5,000$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.85 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 4,798$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.8 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,500$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.51 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,333$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.33 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 4,229$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.95 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 4,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 3,796$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.78 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 3,572$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.73 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 3,500$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 3,293$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 3,044$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 3,004$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,719$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.09 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 15c | 2,388$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.14 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,199$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.38 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,110$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.15 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 2,064$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.31 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,976$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.81 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 1,846$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,779$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.05 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 1,706$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.67 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,385$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.21 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,251$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.21 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,193$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.18 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 1,174$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Miami Marlins | 8c | 1,164$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,146$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.68 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 1,114$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,111$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.46 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 1,088$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.88 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,046$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.76 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…d0f0backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,013$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 21c | 1,002$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 974$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.2 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 943.72$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 908.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 896.48$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.96 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 892$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.83 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 878.94$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.37 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 876.11$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.92 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 849.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 836.96$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.96 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 799.94$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 786.67$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 762.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 700.38$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.68 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 681.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 642.86$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 637.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 589.15$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.14 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 568.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 538.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.77 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 22c | 511.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 482.1$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.12 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 479$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.66 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 474.64$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 452.22$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 451.38$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.26 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 443.43$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.45 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 13.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.