TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb729…4e2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT8544.7%38 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,763Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,763.01
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,168.95
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$842.66
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,918Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$5,480.61
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$5,887.47
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,293Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+110%+$5,823.88
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,460.64
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.25
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$708.28
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,031.71
Nicholls Colonels vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (W)backed Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.62
Coppin State Eagles vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Coppin State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,798Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$4,798.35
Delaware State Hornets vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawksbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,983Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+140.2%+$2,780.22
Bucknell Bison vs. Navy Midshipmenbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,970.71
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,974.52
Bryant Bulldogs vs. Binghamton Bearcats (W)backed Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,479Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+68.9%+$1,706.77
Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Drake Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+86.8%+$2,886.29
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers (W)backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,914.47
Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lionsbacked Little Rock Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,462.77
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartansbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,086Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+174.5%+$8,875.09
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Detroit Titansbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,460.72
North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,982.34
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,479Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+133.6%+$3,310.76
VCU Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes (W)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneylinebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$794.75
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$427.38
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
1H Spread: Pistons (-11.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,434.51
1H Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,880.6
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$2,991.51
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$7,000
Spread: Hornets (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,513.49
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,337
Celtics vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$913.4
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17,669.64
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$7,000
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+86.3%+$5,465.49
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+101%+$5,049.83
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$92.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+63.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$441.91
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$510.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$1,604.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.