Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d98dc44269e2211b6ae5e0afeec4545eabdca1e0fcc93834ef8afba85eb5fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogsof Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs, USC Upstate Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,027 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 36c | 13,961$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,875.09 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USC Upstate Spartans | 57c | 6,161$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.54 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 43c | 6,137$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.63 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 73c | 5,204$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.6 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked USC Upstate Spartans | 67c | 4,698$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.29 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed USC Upstate Spartans | 60c | 4,094$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.86 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed USC Upstate Spartans | 77c | 2,296$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 36c | 2,293$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 53c | 1,662$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.35 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed USC Upstate Spartans | 66c | 1,556$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.3 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 14c | 1,388$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.42 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 54c | 840.6$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.32 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 70c | 717.81$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.68 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 14c | 654.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 14c | 622.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.66 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 13c | 618.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 16c | 505.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.47 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 53c | 480.25$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.36 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed USC Upstate Spartans | 49c | 398.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.18 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed USC Upstate Spartans | 54c | 387.16$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 42c | 385.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.01 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 26c | 373.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.27 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 75c | 294.36$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 14c | 281.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.36 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed USC Upstate Spartans | 49c | 279.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 34c | 248.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked USC Upstate Spartans | 61c | 245.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed USC Upstate Spartans | 70c | 234.09$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 17c | 225.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.44 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 58c | 221.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 15c | 199.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.24 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 26c | 198.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…e5f7backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 39c | 189.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 22c | 186.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 48c | 168.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 53c | 158.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed USC Upstate Spartans | 71c | 156.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked USC Upstate Spartans | 66c | 135.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed USC Upstate Spartans | 60c | 126.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 53c | 116.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed USC Upstate Spartans | 70c | 102.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 33c | 100.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked USC Upstate Spartans | 53c | 99.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 23c | 97.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 39c | 95.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 21c | 66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 27c | 53.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 20c | 52.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 37c | 40.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 63c | 31.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked USC Upstate Spartans | 77c | 31.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 65c | 25.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…8299backed USC Upstate Spartans | 77c | 23.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartansthis page
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 144.5Under won
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 146.5Under won
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: USC Upstate Spartans (-10.5)Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs won
- Spread: USC Upstate Spartans (-11.5)Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.