Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3546b1812f81add4299d8cd47fbe61f672dcaefd18c1811484a6d40206a58c5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,575 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 51c | 5,097$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.69 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 50c | 1,685$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.5 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,612$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Under | 49c | 728.27$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.42 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 500.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 49c | 396.5$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 49c | 283.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…cf90backed Over | 51c | 279.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 49c | 252.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 51c | 201.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 49c | 148.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 66.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…3cc6backed Over | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 47.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 42.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 52c | 42.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a19…a5abbacked Over | 51c | 38.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Over | 51c | 31.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 51c | 26.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 144.5this page
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate SpartansGardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs won
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 146.5Under won
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: USC Upstate Spartans (-10.5)Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs won
- Spread: USC Upstate Spartans (-11.5)Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.