TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7dd0…ee95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT6137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Trendon Watford: Points O/U 9.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$437.44
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$273.41
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.81
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$305.73
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$207.78
Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$260.54
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$187.07
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$309.09
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT5757.9%33 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.26
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$198.25
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$209.47
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.48
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.95
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$247.81
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.79
Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-4.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$157.51
UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.35
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.18
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-7.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.96
Spread: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (-5.5)backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.7
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$151.28
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$157.23
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$237.41
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-12.5)backed NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$168.89
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$232.74
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.43
New Orleans Privateers vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$215.39
New Orleans Privateers vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.38
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.51
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$227.99
Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bears: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$164.54
Spread: Toledo Rockets (-6.5)backed Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$198.25
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+84.4%+$226.02
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$338.78
Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$195
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+138.1%+$179.52
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$253.33
Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Panthers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Hurricanes vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$162.5
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$267.69
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$201.76
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$107
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.