NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f716920474f4042eed0d053eb6572425011f732775b7d2a92120739f6bc0082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Bulls, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,280 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Kings | 47c | 48,483$22,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,705.03 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Bulls | 55c | 45,659$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 53c | 31,834$16,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,867.12 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 46c | 28,486$13,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,293.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b6…3eeebacked Bulls | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.98 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bulls | 47c | 18,810$8,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,845.21 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f185backed Kings | 54c | 14,835$8,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,824.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Kings | 53c | 13,204$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,204.16 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 47c | 13,062$6,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,923.38 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2016…93f5backed Kings | 54c | 11,062$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Bulls | 47c | 9,883$4,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,645.04 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 53c | 8,719$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Bulls | 54c | 6,467$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.39 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…16d6backed Kings | 54c | 6,435$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…8ac1backed Kings | 54c | 6,056$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bulls | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…742cbacked Bulls | 46c | 5,817$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 43c | 5,810$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bulls | 15c | 5,722$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.79 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c1…b9c2backed Bulls | 46c | 5,539$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 47c | 5,527$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976b…cf95backed Bulls | 46c | 5,515$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…b3c7backed Bulls | 46c | 5,355$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Kings | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…c3ecbacked Bulls | 46c | 5,269$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…32c3backed Bulls | 46c | 5,181$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 53c | 5,158$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…c97bbacked Bulls | 46c | 5,144$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…d929backed Bulls | 46c | 5,022$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffb…3d68backed Kings | 54c | 4,989$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7686…122ebacked Kings | 54c | 4,946$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…cf2ebacked Bulls | 46c | 4,892$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080c…9c68backed Bulls | 46c | 4,837$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…b0c1backed Bulls | 46c | 4,798$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…b42cbacked Bulls | 46c | 4,797$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac6…7b19backed Bulls | 46c | 4,796$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…5e96backed Bulls | 46c | 4,770$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…b8d8backed Bulls | 46c | 4,761$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bf…e7c1backed Kings | 54c | 4,754$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b4…a35abacked Bulls | 46c | 4,696$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb3…f82ebacked Kings | 54c | 4,638$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42a…2e15backed Kings | 54c | 4,627$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b53…1f79backed Bulls | 46c | 4,520$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…4004backed Bulls | 46c | 4,468$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc15…74e1backed Kings | 54c | 4,374$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…3e3abacked Bulls | 46c | 4,268$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…25e6backed Kings | 54c | 4,258$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Kings | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…a672backed Kings | 54c | 4,247$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bulls | 52c | 4,222$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.57 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd855…7b98backed Kings | 54c | 4,209$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…8baabacked Bulls | 46c | 4,197$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…543ebacked Kings | 54c | 4,159$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 48c | 4,158$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.9 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc1…d8dfbacked Kings | 54c | 4,117$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…d204backed Kings | 54c | 4,065$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ff…c6cdbacked Kings | 54c | 4,061$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd725…bd22backed Kings | 54c | 4,059$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…5f60backed Bulls | 46c | 3,936$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…985abacked Kings | 54c | 3,924$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…3fa2backed Bulls | 46c | 3,916$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…143fbacked Kings | 54c | 3,908$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…d5aabacked Kings | 54c | 3,887$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…7211backed Kings | 54c | 3,783$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Bulls | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.22 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…5198backed Kings | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…2757backed Bulls | 46c | 3,681$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…e59abacked Kings | 54c | 3,639$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Bulls | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…dfd6backed Kings | 54c | 3,469$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…313ebacked Kings | 54c | 3,437$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Kings | 46c | 3,238$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.74 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…3fbcbacked Kings | 54c | 3,184$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bulls | 52c | 3,041$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.95 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 53c | 2,256$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.32 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Bulls | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.62 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Kings | 47c | 1,950$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.55 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 46c | 1,868$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…35a6backed Bulls | 46c | 1,851$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kings | 53c | 1,696$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.13 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Kings | 56c | 1,650$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.62 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 53c | 1,568$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Bulls | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 49c | 1,308$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.4 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 57c | 1,295$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaf…ea09backed Bulls | 46c | 1,147$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Bulls | 36c | 1,101$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.72 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bulls | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Kings | 49c | 957.14$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.14 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 50c | 930.26$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Bulls | 47c | 902.98$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.4 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bulls | 56c | 897.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 51c | 881.98$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.86 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b4…98fcbacked Kings | 54c | 867$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 47c | 862.03$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…6040backed Kings | 54c | 857$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls | 51c | 838.31$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.54 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kings | 41c | 802.9$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.74 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-0.5)Kings won
- Bulls vs. KingsKings won
- Bulls vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Bulls vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Kings won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.