TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,204 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over51c73,365$37,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,246.4243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c14,734$7,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,134.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Under45c9,200$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1405251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c8,663$4,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Under47c7,660$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over48c7,501$3,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,918.825945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over51c6,003$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.3651354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over53c5,120$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c5,001$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under42c4,151$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.573,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.971,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under34c3,559$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.142,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under49c2,795$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.5531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c2,200$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0823,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under47c2,123$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Under45c2,038$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.466651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9401,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over49c1,760$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.5965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under44c1,619$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.272,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over77c1,530$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.271,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over67c1,515$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.6840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67514448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7656939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c1,357$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Under8c1,272$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under49c1,264$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.5624138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Over53c1,252$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.237064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c1,243$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.794,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under51c1,130$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.333146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under48c1,125$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.0558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,007$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Under56c897.66$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c824$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.242,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c599.99$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c556.25$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c535$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.872,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under52c512.65$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5812552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under52c461.54$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under12c400.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7714636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c392$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.961,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over51c313.73$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7352146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under45c313.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.645452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over49c290$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.945646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c262.03$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.75,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over49c250.07$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5429243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under48c248.38$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2245647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under52c218.46$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.618143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004540%18 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under10c199.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under40c198.54$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.323,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0843447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-39.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c194.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.712,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over61c146.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.131,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over49c145$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under52c143$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.361,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under48c126.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over54c121.85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.641,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over51c118.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under11c104.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1565630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under47c104.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9623349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under47c104.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9697049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under48c104.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under48c103.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.525651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514052.5%21 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5255533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over49c99.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over53c93.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over74c88.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2910145.5%46 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under47c81.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3816338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1adb…f12abacked Under51c78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.785345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Over49c78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.788251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under52c65.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3454854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under52c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2895260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under52c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1923350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over53c61.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2937755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c54.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.442,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517459.2%103 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over78c51.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.391,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over67c51.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0388057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over49c51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0153839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2459650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e9…1812backed Under45c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x890a…1da7backed Under49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.053053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over58c44.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.418261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.