TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bulls (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Bulls, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,189 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Kings52c21,421$11,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,282.081,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Bulls50c19,998$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,998.9930845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbeef…bb18backed Bulls48c19,000$9,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,12020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Kings50c14,903$7,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,451.7126949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings50c13,048$6,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,559.654,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bulls51c10,268$5,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,203.852,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kings52c6,500$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.9729748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Bulls51c5,055$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,578.0519645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Bulls48c4,107$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.3631643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Kings52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Bulls48c2,868$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38634854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings50c2,830$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls52c2,699$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Bulls48c2,676$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.4870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls51c2,193$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.811,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls49c2,159$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Kings48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3326648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls49c2,079$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.932,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Bulls52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9617050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls51c1,493$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Kings44c1,140$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.413837%51 W · 87 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bulls50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings51c900.39$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.413,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd371…d25fbacked Bulls57c870$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.91225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c4d…33acbacked Kings43c870$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Kings51c765.73$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.0924138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Kings50c662.62$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.3117144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bulls54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings49c611.63$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bulls50c600$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Kings49c489.8$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings48c422.63$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Kings43c393.28$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.991,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Kings53c377.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4536450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Bulls48c372.75$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8820154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Bulls49c342$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.945151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Bulls49c325$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2528751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bulls48c314.16$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.82,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Bulls56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16873649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Kings46c299.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9935444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Kings50c285.11$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Kings50c284.28$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.172466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Bulls49c266.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3917153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Bulls51c218.43$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bulls57c184.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.172,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kings51c183.97$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.231,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ca…6413backed Bulls48c183.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kings44c166.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.511,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls50c164.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.773,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Bulls51c153.79$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.241,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bulls49c142.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.243,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Bulls50c132.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8139943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Kings50c132$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Bulls48c128.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bulls49c123.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.781,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Bulls54c121.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.391,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Bulls58c110.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0733554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bulls49c106.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Kings51c104.11$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0129652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Kings53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4740541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Bulls48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4833949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Kings49c95.39$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.614046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Kings53c94.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4217342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bulls52c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls35c71.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.711,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Bulls51c68.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Kings51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8259650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd347…a708backed Bulls58c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed Bulls57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Bulls52c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Kings63c47.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Bulls50c44.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1267248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Bulls49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0746447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b8…e7cfbacked Kings47c41.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.936642.4%28 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Bulls50c40.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Kings50c40.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0215041.3%62 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0466…b3a5backed Bulls56c35.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Kings44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0462049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Kings49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8132947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4227…8c10backed Bulls50c28.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.253444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4218…ff0ebacked Kings53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Bulls50c25.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Bulls52c25.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3776250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Kings49c25.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1c…1f45backed Bulls50c21.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.875743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Bulls49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Bulls50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Bulls51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.187950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c4c…b7b8backed Bulls50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015054%81 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Bulls53c19.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410252%53 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.