TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Bulls, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,369,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,369,960 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,941 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2133…816ebacked Bulls52c121,721$62,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,739.251662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings40c116,917$47,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,575.724,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bulls59c84,192$49,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,799.5143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Kings37c79,500$29,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,08511653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bulls62c78,601$48,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,732.7254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Bulls64c78,441$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Bulls63c64,667$40,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,773.6712639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings42c58,782$24,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,127.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Bulls56c51,359$28,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,775.99655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls63c50,250$31,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,552.491,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bulls61c50,000$30,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Kings45c41,329$18,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,731.0848343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kings74c40,260$29,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,640.931,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Kings37c35,012$12,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,057.6223147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Kings36c31,400$11,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,095.8930845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bulls59c28,573$16,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,857.982,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings53c27,836$14,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,110.85,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bulls46c27,000$12,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,539.961,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Kings38c25,841$9,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,961.5571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Bulls55c24,146$13,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,308.3551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Kings41c20,211$8,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,924.3134456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings44c18,073$7,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,121.142,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls42c17,905$7,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,532.541,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls59c17,891$10,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,474.021,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings38c17,634$6,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,958.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Bulls23c17,204$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.6517246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kings42c17,116$7,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,853.326353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings61c17,087$10,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,741.581,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls59c17,000$10,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,03077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Kings61c16,680$10,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,499.724573.3%33 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Bulls56c15,934$8,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,923.0322453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Kings47c15,364$7,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,166.648939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Bulls54c14,791$7,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,987.2217050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings39c14,355$5,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,724.63,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bulls59c14,264$8,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,406.081,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings49c14,149$6,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,156.142,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Bulls13c13,854$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.541428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Kings38c13,218$5,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,195.4220948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Kings37c13,038$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,213.9431644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls36c13,012$4,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,686.454,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Kings39c12,821$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,821.324143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Bulls56c11,626$6,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,510.5419957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings42c10,854$4,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,349.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings50c10,247$5,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,156.543,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Bulls55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Bulls63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Bulls56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.8732039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls21c9,999$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.461,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Kings51c9,810$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.145248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Bulls57c9,320$5,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,312.428554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e88…df66backed Kings80c9,279$7,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.85650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls0c9,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls0c8,850$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.758820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Kings44c8,583$3,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,776.0939349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe51…3982backed Bulls54c8,299$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,481.44517.8%8 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-51.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Kings39c8,250$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,032.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Kings51c8,034$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,934.2542348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Kings38c7,985$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,960.3425138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Kings38c7,286$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,523.758444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls1c7,277$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9464517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb103…1745backed Kings74c7,064$5,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.96065%39 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Bulls57c7,030$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.11,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Kings44c7,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.941145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Kings41c6,839$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,035.016651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bulls11c6,834$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.561,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls1c6,758$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.581,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Kings39c6,666$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,066.341832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Kings43c6,500$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,695.8435547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Bulls1c6,435$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5213115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bulls35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9838434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Kings39c5,940$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,623.44443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Bulls59c5,931$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.2712042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb29…64f3backed Bulls2c5,885$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.85944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Kings43c5,814$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.952937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Bulls57c5,800$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3069758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Kings43c5,800$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.9310035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls46c5,738$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.43,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Bulls48c5,737$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.1224151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Bulls44c5,700$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.747754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Bulls53c5,481$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,89719136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Bulls64c5,469$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5007656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bulls57c5,466$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,127.311,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Bulls8c5,455$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.0434425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Bulls6c5,399$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9190%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls1c5,354$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.227211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings38c5,306$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.022,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Kings77c5,018$3,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.495570.9%39 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad6f…cbcdbacked Bulls55c5,001$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.631942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Kings42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.1225947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Kings67c5,000$3,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.4435942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71ab…b505backed Bulls56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kings43c5,000$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,86029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd302…c345backed Kings45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.123100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+428.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Kings56c4,903$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.728440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls24c4,679$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kings38c4,585$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.792753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Bulls42c4,514$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9006741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Kings36c4,452$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.289330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Kings37c4,315$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.789547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Bulls54c4,296$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32013063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.