NBA · resolved market
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x844cfd7372c95fa223b14ad019dac188df66d638194dea104f474d39cc46afa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,576 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 74c | 718.56$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.37 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…eac5backed Yes | 27c | 376.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 46c | 165$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9156backed Yes | 26c | 85.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 54c | 67.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…b88ebacked Yes | 36c | 56.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Yes | 53c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Yes | 53c | 25.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-0.5)Kings won
- Bulls vs. KingsKings won
- Bulls vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Bulls vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Kings won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.