NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x892924b37f6cb921aac8134c6d5d77d7c3afa96728ccc06a2607623f69ad2d24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,692 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 54c | 9,757$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.44 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,241$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 3,206$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 3,056$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.64 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 3,031$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.1 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Over | 55c | 2,798$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.94 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 2,647$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.62 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 44c | 2,300$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 2,103$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…444fbacked Over | 50c | 1,714$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,430$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.2 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 1,380$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,329$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 1,297$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 726.48$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Under | 47c | 564.22$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 47c | 533.52$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.92 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 61c | 392.13$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.93 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 346.53$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 260.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over | 50c | 236$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Under | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 56c | 223.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 47c | 134.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 49c | 113.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 44c | 108.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 44c | 108.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 87.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 57c | 87.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 56c | 87.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 56c | 85.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 83.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 82.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 60.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 45.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 45c | 44.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 40.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…cf66backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Under | 45c | 34.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…48c6backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 49c | 30.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 27.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Over | 57c | 23.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 52c | 21.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Over | 52c | 20.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 61c | 20.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -14.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 70c | 19.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-0.5)Kings won
- Bulls vs. KingsKings won
- Bulls vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Bulls vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Kings won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.