TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,252 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b45…9723backed No72c1,339$961 inLost-$960.7626069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08d…9faebacked Yes27c500$135 inWon+$365742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0558…6ce0backed Yes26c420.59$110 inWon+$310.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+132.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x290f…0c10backed Yes27c371.89$100 inWon+$271.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+271.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No68c368.23$250 inLost-$250.3224138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0b…b446backed Yes30c327.97$97 inWon+$230.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Yes40c275.25$110 inWon+$165.255541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No60c265.42$159 inLost-$159.2590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed No70c250$175 inLost-$1756361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c225.19$159 inLost-$159.324,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5a…f56cbacked Yes32c200$64 inWon+$136.1633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda2…ba18backed Yes32c143.75$46 inWon+$97.755131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9156backed Yes27c116.25$31 inWon+$84.851637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0967…164cbacked Yes27c110.48$30 inWon+$80.652458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a9a…5eb6backed Yes30c60$18 inWon+$42850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No71c54$38 inLost-$38.3465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No74c43.49$32 inLost-$32.181,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No74c39.99$30 inLost-$29.5988057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Yes62c35.29$22 inWon+$13.292653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc877…05b4backed No69c32.94$23 inLost-$22.742040%8 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No59c20$12 inLost-$11.796956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1052…67d0backed Yes61c18.03$11 inWon+$7.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.