NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bf68df54549de7b5f9526a25603fea053460d1a7e4abc2231eddfc7d8b44bfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 51c | 118,630$60,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,577.03 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 68,000$34,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,679.93 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 58,601$28,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,370.13 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 40,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,499.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 23,694$11,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,460.01 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 51c | 15,748$7,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,762.3 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Under | 49c | 15,102$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.04 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.98 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 10,286$5,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 8,309$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.4 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 8,083$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.23 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 7,522$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.48 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 6,723$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.2 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 49c | 6,139$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.91 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 5,930$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.3 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 49c | 4,569$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.18 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 49c | 4,423$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.77 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 4,000$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 2,090$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 43c | 1,054$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.87 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 945$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.15 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 45c | 799.98$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 53c | 799.97$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 668.82$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.16 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 45c | 580$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.2 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 51c | 548.67$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.82 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Over | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Under | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 465.34$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.64 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 405.47$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.08 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 55c | 364.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 52c | 275.56$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked Over | 53c | 273.51$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 237.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 214.56$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 64c | 210.41$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 48c | 205$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 202.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 47c | 190.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 52c | 168.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 48c | 153.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 49c | 147.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 47c | 125.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 49c | 102.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 91.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 50c | 85.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 49c | 75.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 47c | 65.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 49c | 60.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…2b82backed Over | 51c | 59.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 53c | 57.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 54.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…988abacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…cca2backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Under | 53c | 47.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 46.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 31c | 46.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…fff4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 48c | 38.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 53c | 37.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 53c | 35.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 49c | 35.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 53c | 34.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 48c | 33.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 33.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Under | 50c | 32.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Under | 50c | 31.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Over | 53c | 30.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 62c | 24.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 50c | 23.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 50c | 23.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-0.5)Kings won
- Bulls vs. KingsKings won
- Bulls vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Bulls vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Guerschon Yabusele: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Kings won
- Tre Jones: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.