TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf10e…4c13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
338
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 209 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.04
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.79
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.41
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$91.23
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.59
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.27
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+89%+$19.02
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$8.73
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$8.29
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$22.21
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$19.57
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$26.37
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Showing 25 of 209 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT5457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.14
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.74
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.18
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.11
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104%+$21.13
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.28
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.22
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-1.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.25
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5)backed Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.18
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.86
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-31.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$59.35
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.1
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-12.5)backed McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.8
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT5379.2%42 W · 11 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+19.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zadar: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$10.65
Zadar: Jonas Forejtek vs Andrej Nedicbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.64
Murcia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$27.68
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$59.92
Cherbourg: Borna Gojo vs Pavel Kotovbacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+90%+$14.3
Hersonissos 2: Stefan Dostanic vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$24.91
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrej Martinbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+39%+$6.29
Antalya 3: Carole Monnet vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Antalya 3: Alina Charaeva vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$28.33
Phoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Arthur Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$19.71
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$27.03
Austin: Caty McNally vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$6.76
Hersonissos 2: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+79%+$13.1
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Sandro Koppbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$8.79
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$16.06
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Philip Henningbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$8.17
Hersonissos 2: Paul Jubb vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Hersonissos 2: Michael Geerts vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.14
Antalya 3: Panna Udvardy vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75%+$8.79
Phoenix: Emilio Nava vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$13.87
BNP Paribas Open: Alexandra Eala vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$5.42
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$11.67
Santiago: Franco Agamenone vs Guido Justobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.57
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$10.52
Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.05
Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$13.24
Oilers vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$9.98
Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Utah vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Islanders vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Senators vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.45
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.71
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.1
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.65
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$3.96
Red Wings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.4%+$9.07
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.55
All 19 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Olimpia Milano vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.