TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Philip Henning

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lorenzo Giustinoof Lorenzo Giustino, Philip Henning
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,584 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Philip Henning42c13,990$5,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,881.032,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Lorenzo Giustino53c13,000$6,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.9766949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Philip Henning37c1,967$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.462,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Lorenzo Giustino67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5412360.2%74 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Lorenzo Giustino48c1,468$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.9198240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70e…4a2dbacked Lorenzo Giustino59c1,165$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc8…16a8backed Philip Henning47c1,160$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Lorenzo Giustino53c945.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4352460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Lorenzo Giustino77c844.16$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.162123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Philip Henning40c833.07$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.812,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Philip Henning26c826.45$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.386,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Lorenzo Giustino62c811.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9137854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Philip Henning44c780.84$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2427836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Philip Henning50c702.58$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Lorenzo Giustino58c541.47$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.474245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Philip Henning49c533.06$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.381,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Philip Henning49c485.82$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7629637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Lorenzo Giustino53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.731643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Philip Henning45c358.01$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.833,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Lorenzo Giustino44c352.6$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.618651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d6…2546backed Philip Henning47c347.33$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.492958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Lorenzo Giustino66c302.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.994549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Lorenzo Giustino53c284.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.471,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Philip Henning37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Philip Henning40c267.64$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.741,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed Lorenzo Giustino69c266.67$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.677368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed Philip Henning50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254971.4%35 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Philip Henning40c220.2$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.596,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Lorenzo Giustino50c219.17$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1092,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Lorenzo Giustino63c211.1$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.351,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Philip Henning45c211.01$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9511045.5%50 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Philip Henning54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10084736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Philip Henning72c183.42$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.382,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Lorenzo Giustino55c163.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6410649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Philip Henning35c157.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.241,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Philip Henning36c151.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0536333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Lorenzo Giustino54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6932842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Philip Henning13c149.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.454656.5%26 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Philip Henning48c144.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.891,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lorenzo Giustino55c143.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.199,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae5…f4cabacked Philip Henning33c137.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked Lorenzo Giustino75c132$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Lorenzo Giustino48c128$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.833,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Lorenzo Giustino38c126.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.091,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philip Henning24c125.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.737,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Lorenzo Giustino80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2542558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Lorenzo Giustino44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa24…b2b4backed Lorenzo Giustino52c111.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.547549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Lorenzo Giustino57c108$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8369249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Philip Henning50c100.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012142.1%51 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb51a…bd0cbacked Philip Henning57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Lorenzo Giustino44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9951539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7796…5da7backed Philip Henning29c99.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.951560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c1…7203backed Philip Henning47c97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.592157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabcf…e057backed Lorenzo Giustino53c97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.592556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Lorenzo Giustino54c93.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0730351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Lorenzo Giustino54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5984963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Philip Henning57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Philip Henning45c85.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.411347.8%54 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Lorenzo Giustino65c82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.441,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x759c…05e2backed Philip Henning64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019649%96 W · 100 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Lorenzo Giustino51c78.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.617,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Lorenzo Giustino52c77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.961,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Lorenzo Giustino67c75.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.865149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lorenzo Giustino63c69.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.492,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Philip Henning42c66.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1557252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Philip Henning51c66.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6526349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lorenzo Giustino41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.458048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Lorenzo Giustino51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8213750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Lorenzo Giustino58c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8843951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Lorenzo Giustino50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2535559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Philip Henning49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.590340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Philip Henning46c49.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.981,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Lorenzo Giustino40c49.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.610046%46 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Philip Henning47c47.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.741,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Lorenzo Giustino59c45.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6453752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Philip Henning33c43.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.275048%24 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5e…54a1backed Philip Henning47c42.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Lorenzo Giustino51c42.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.481,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625a…2dd5backed Philip Henning49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Philip Henning46c40.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.521,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed Lorenzo Giustino65c39.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.926668.2%45 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef9…916abacked Lorenzo Giustino64c38.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147841%32 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Philip Henning48c38.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1338147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x613f…6463backed Lorenzo Giustino53c38.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.895937.3%22 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ea…2aacbacked Lorenzo Giustino53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.747261.1%44 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Lorenzo Giustino54c37.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.359663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f5…7a95backed Lorenzo Giustino59c32.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0754…5c8bbacked Lorenzo Giustino71c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.951060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Lorenzo Giustino73c30.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.175379.2%42 W · 11 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+19.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Philip Henning49c28.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.084337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Philip Henning48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4496844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Philip Henning47c25.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8554434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Lorenzo Giustino50c25.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.431,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Lorenzo Giustino51c24.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2415353.6%82 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5189…e539backed Lorenzo Giustino57c24.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0a…644abacked Philip Henning47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2816175.2%121 W · 40 L+20.4wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Philip Henning48c21.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3218233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Lorenzo Giustino67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Lorenzo Giustino63c16.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0731434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.