TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7796…5da7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.08
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.82
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.99
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.53
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.24
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.61
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.19
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.17
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.43
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.55
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.79
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.77
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$6.62
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.67
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.59
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$39.3
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sonay Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.21
Phoenix: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+400%+$94.14
Austin: Anastasia Zakharova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.1
Santiago: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Andrea Collarinibacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.79
Cherbourg: Dan Added vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.42
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.66
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Philip Henningbacked Philip Henning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Antalya 3: Anhelina Kalinina vs Elena Pridankinabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.07
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$24.07
Santiago: Jaime Faria vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.04
Santiago: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Cannon Kingsleybacked Cannon Kingsley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Santiago: Franco Agamenone vs Guido Justobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.66
Antalya 3: Maria Sara Popa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Maria Sara Popa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.11
Antalya 3: Arantxa Rus vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.95
Hersonissos 2: Peter Makk vs Philip Henningbacked Philip Henning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$9.23
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.