Stocks · resolved market
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8775e5be464e0bd1dc56c55b321ec9cc129e5e0bb24bab807bea0b2923cef912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,933 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f0c…20bfbacked Yes | 1c | 59,494$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 29c | 8,639$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…fcd4backed No | 68c | 8,582$5,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dbd8backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 64c | 1,647$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +294.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 33c | 1,513$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44cf…2211backed Yes | 34c | 1,450$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…ca75backed No | 71c | 1,446$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 1,333$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 1,200$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed No | 74c | 1,129$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7230…a3d2backed No | 74c | 1,080$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 933$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Yes | 30c | 920.82$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 62c | 886.35$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.3 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed No | 64c | 881.6$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…5bc0backed Yes | 36c | 850.64$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked No | 65c | 725.45$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…2280backed Yes | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 25c | 667.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked No | 64c | 621.59$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked No | 73c | 567.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 35c | 518.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…4ff5backed Yes | 37c | 399.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb78…8818backed No | 77c | 390$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 62c | 363.02$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ca…a286backed No | 69c | 354.09$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…6ca1backed No | 71c | 348.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…c5aabacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f70…ad31backed No | 70c | 284.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 273.85$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…bff4backed No | 75c | 269.02$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…8790backed No | 69c | 240$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…bf1ebacked Yes | 33c | 233$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 231.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 71c | 222.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…bf5cbacked Yes | 31c | 219.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fea…5685backed No | 55c | 218.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 32c | 218.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -84%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed Yes | 39c | 202$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…d3afbacked No | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked Yes | 9c | 190.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…f0b0backed Yes | 33c | 189.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed No | 66c | 171.64$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…0a00backed No | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…a587backed Yes | 28c | 142.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 31c | 127.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…b220backed Yes | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked No | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 38c | 106.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 29c | 105.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…3c60backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…62dfbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…fa34backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…4eecbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…3ea5backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 40c | 91.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…ecc6backed Yes | 51c | 88.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e7…5e49backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…fdcfbacked No | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…4bc4backed No | 74c | 72.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Yes | 20c | 71.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 17cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…af98backed No | 75c | 66.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 27c | 62.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…8b46backed Yes | 40c | 62.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…a4cdbacked Yes | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ea…c4a6backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 72c | 58.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…f3dbbacked Yes | 30c | 57.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 61c | 49.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 37c | 44.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…e713backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7796…5da7backed No | 73c | 31.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…3363backed No | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1811…900cbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 58c | 27.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +9.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…685bbacked No | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a7…f75abacked No | 79c | 23.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…0991backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed No | 70c | 22.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +83%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…524abacked No | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…cd4ebacked No | 67c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 72c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…3ed5backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.