TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1ee…a8ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
279
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5149%25 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+162.4%+$32.49
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$184.66
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$130.56
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$23.11
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$24.86
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$90.14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,127.03
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.13
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.24
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386.6
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,484.06
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$55.25
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$946.41
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.76
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+289%+$115.62
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.28
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+71%+$141.91
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$972.42
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$85.05
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$28.11
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+54.7%+$190.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$68.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32.07
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Solana reach $240 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Solana reach $200 October 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Solana reach $220 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $116,000 October 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$80.2
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 29-October 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$49.86
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2050%10 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+88.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+809.1%+$161.82
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.2%+$32.83
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$108.15
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
Saints vs. Seahawksbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.5
Jets vs. Buccaneersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.15
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+181.7%+$64.5
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+578%+$341
Colts vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.25
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-76.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.11
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$552
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,570
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,904.77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$6,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,589
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+74%+$29.61
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-90.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+27%+$13.48
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.6
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$298
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.86
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-39.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.24
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 5.0% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.26
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.71
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+497.4%+$1,851.11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$58.58
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$294.63
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$23.73
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$795.2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,300
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-75%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
Trump posts 50-99 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$328
Trump posts 10-19 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,573Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,573.31
Will Ryan Selkis tweet Jul 23 - Aug 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2024, EDT+150%+$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-84%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-79%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-56.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$103
Will another Pump.fun coin be first to $1b?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+25.9%+$76.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.