Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1149477b67157c5b88caef9278419bff5e69ff43d6456ba79c803113719e0258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 1c | 15,438$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 13,108$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…c771backed Yes | 76c | 12,350$9,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,419 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ea…7ec5backed Yes | 1c | 10,624$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes | 4c | 8,873$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.74 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 4c | 8,195$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.92 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked No | 72c | 7,416$5,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.89 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…b60abacked Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,618$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 37c | 3,702$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.14 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yes | 8c | 3,400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +205.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8814…5cc0backed Yes | 1c | 2,881$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4b…1a6bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,821$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 59c | 2,411$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.48 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 1c | 2,384$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 50c | 2,303$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.4 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…04b9backed Yes | 12c | 2,215$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…673cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,138$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 38c | 2,005$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.91 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…305bbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.01 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c6…456abacked No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…133fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,917$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cef…0b52backed Yes | 2c | 1,762$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 3c | 1,536$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…867cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,504$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…7138backed No | 60c | 1,504$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db0…c35fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,504$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…818bbacked No | 60c | 1,504$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…fefdbacked No | 60c | 1,504$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…72bebacked Yes | 40c | 1,504$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb892…d78cbacked No | 60c | 1,504$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb11…2075backed Yes | 40c | 1,504$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea8…7d28backed Yes | 40c | 1,504$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…d0d6backed No | 60c | 1,504$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,313$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,298$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.05 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 4c | 1,190$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…4f28backed Yes | 53c | 1,166$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 49c | 1,098$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed Yes | 4c | 1,048$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,021$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.97 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…b6dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…5adabacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 3c | 993.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…b1d7backed No | 40c | 961.07$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…7de4backed Yes | 36c | 858$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…c16fbacked Yes | 2c | 837.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 4c | 826.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…3551backed No | 40c | 817.25$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 7c | 752.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…9ff1backed Yes | 47c | 740$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…71ccbacked Yes | 13c | 713.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 4c | 704.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked Yes | 7c | 700$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…132bbacked Yes | 2c | 625.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…74d5backed Yes | 2c | 560$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…f157backed Yes | 6c | 554.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…c4c3backed Yes | 6c | 538.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 38c | 473$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.09 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 46c | 439.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…6c3cbacked Yes | 3c | 399.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb52…67ccbacked Yes | 16c | 390.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a3…c9a6backed No | 42c | 378.58$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 20c | 373.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed No | 56c | 370$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796e…a06bbacked Yes | 51c | 360.19$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked No | 56c | 359.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…1de5backed No | 28c | 353.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdba…347bbacked Yes | 38c | 335.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…268fbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 44c | 284$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…8754backed No | 53c | 258.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +151.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 60c | 251.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…f4ebbacked Yes | 4c | 240$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 38c | 238.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…94e7backed Yes | 9c | 231.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…25d8backed No | 36c | 227.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…3ad5backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…b7b0backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7e…9a50backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…f6debacked Yes | 63c | 172.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…d67cbacked Yes | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…acc7backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…026dbacked Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…68f8backed No | 66c | 146.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…c18abacked No | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…0e38backed Yes | 50c | 129$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes | 28c | 126.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef39…423bbacked No | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…a41abacked No | 39c | 111.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762c…58cfbacked Yes | 41c | 105.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.