TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x336f…c31e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
419
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT4742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.94
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.54
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.97
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.63
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$266.66
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.89
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$16.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$122.75
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$183.52
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.8%+$43.1
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$363.58
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.08
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.71
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.8%+$58.9
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.1%+$116.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.8%+$163.04
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$52.21
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$114.9
Will Solana dip to $110 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+60.4%+$40.43
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.78
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+180.8%+$117.82
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.52
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$6.38
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$47.83
Will Amazon dip to $192 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.64
Will Netflix reach $105 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$32.25
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.54
Will Amazon reach $216 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.91
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,330.62
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$225.2
Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$90.2
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$284.48
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55.98
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$35.89
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+157.2%+$73.95
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$192.64
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.42
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$37.04
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$38.64
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.17
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$318.82
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.1
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$85.72
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.53
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,374.07
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$97.9
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$746.93
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.94
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.77
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.82
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.21
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.87
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.83
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$51.06
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$66.38
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.01
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$135.52
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.36
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$162.46
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.84
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$123.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$249.64
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.57
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$34.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.67
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$146.91
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.24
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.48
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93.07
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35.45
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,350-$4,475 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32.8
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.9%+$26.3
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+170.3%+$113.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+95%+$180.79
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$44.29
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.67
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.19
Will Team Spirit win PGL Wallachia Season 7? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.39
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.1
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$1,017.27
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270.28
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+186.2%+$115.9
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$129.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.38
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+74%+$11.56
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.02
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.44
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$106.49
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$163.87
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$183
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.32
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.05
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$39.45
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.28
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$12.23
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.39
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
X Money released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+191.5%+$80.81
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.4
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.62
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+77.5%+$208.95
Will Claude win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Grok win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$47.47
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.19
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$158.15
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$88.2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25.7%+$37.41
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$82.63
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.72
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.28
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.89
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$51.69
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+91.8%+$115.24
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$56.2
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.37
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.38
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.43
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$247.84
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.57
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.86
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$65.22
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+252.2%+$295.04
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.7
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$66.75
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$56.89
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.77
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.84
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+147.7%+$113.26
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$59.8
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.1
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.81
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+147.5%+$146.31
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37.39
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$102.66
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 140 and 150 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.3%+$41.15
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+86%+$48.62
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$248.11
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$222.25
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$41.84
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+464.3%+$132.47
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.28
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+25%+$39.45
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37.6%+$59.65
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$31.71
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.43
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+304.9%+$224
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.83
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$849.58
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$31.59
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58.26
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$165.51
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$230.93
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+598.7%+$124.17
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.6%+$6.5
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+159.6%+$88.16
Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+28.7%+$49.08
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$74.33
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$212.42
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+34.9%+$106.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$30.82
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$28.12
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.43
LoL: HMBLE vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Ebacked 3BL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.1%+$44.71
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+86.8%+$54.75
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$37.59
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+30.6%+$52.06
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.25
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$42.19
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$70.61
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$79.49
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$21.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-63.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$149.93
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$31.62
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.94
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.74
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$321.7
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.5
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.5
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$493.47
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$672.55
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.78
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.72
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$88.7
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$74.95
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$94.81
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$98.83
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.88
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$270.04
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$869.95
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$265.26
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+118.5%+$142.29
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$275.02
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$26.69
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$132.85
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+512.5%+$754.43
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.7%+$168.32
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.51
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$89.7
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+143.4%+$576.74
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$75.9
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33%+$201.28
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Falcons Force (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$41.06
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$131.32
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$355.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$106.27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.86
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$8.09
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.14
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$73.65
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38.9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Cbacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+265.7%+$208.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29%+$72.96
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.87
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$78.75
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$230.38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$488.15
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$83.8
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$229.57
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$78.76
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$302.54
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25.7%+$144.81
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+39.8%+$182.05
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$999.88
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,038Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+59.6%+$1,811.64
All 16 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$54.17
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.28
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+130.8%+$14.05
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.8%+$144.32
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$229.28
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+113.4%+$32.56
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.09
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$76.6
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$94.72
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$73.38
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+203.4%+$290.77
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$117.71
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+182.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$554.79
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.98
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$201.14
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.62
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$153.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$73.17
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.7%+$372.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.62
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$85.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.