Earnings · resolved market
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d60d7ebfca4e6088748be637f95c1582d5e07505d44ee5a67059056b9a6d477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 79c | 19,328$15,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.21 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 8,301$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 41c | 5,285$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.01 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…8be1backed Yes | 20c | 4,908$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Yes | 13c | 4,812$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…9df5backed Yes | 62c | 4,712$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed Yes | 22c | 2,772$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d50…7594backed No | 47c | 2,425$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0991…abecbacked Yes | 21c | 1,937$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…6cf6backed Yes | 25c | 1,863$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 51c | 1,559$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.84 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 53c | 1,504$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 25c | 1,495$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3847…df89backed No | 75c | 1,339$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 72c | 1,227$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.16 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9753…9d8fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,156$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 23c | 1,145$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.35 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 19c | 1,143$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 1,100$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed Yes | 4c | 1,079$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 27c | 988.79$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.59 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 9c | 961.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12e…3b6abacked No | 78c | 938.01$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 915.73$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 38c | 899.98$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.98 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 56c | 799.98$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 26c | 779.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…0454backed Yes | 22c | 756.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 75c | 711.43$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 29c | 655.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.18 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…f3efbacked Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…b169backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 56c | 540.19$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.37 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked No | 27c | 534.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.69 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243f…f2efbacked Yes | 3c | 530$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 44c | 522.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.83 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…954abacked Yes | 20c | 489.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30e…0a87backed Yes | 41c | 485.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 31c | 480.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…85e0backed Yes | 21c | 475.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed Yes | 25c | 470.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…ee29backed No | 78c | 447.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 23c | 432.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed Yes | 72c | 416$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked No | 28c | 411.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 376.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 48c | 353.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…0796backed Yes | 18c | 321.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 14c | 320$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 72c | 311.23$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…a5f7backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Yes | 34c | 291.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaa…7e9dbacked No | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…8ec4backed No | 74c | 268.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed Yes | 47c | 255$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 32c | 253.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 21c | 246.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.74 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…87d1backed No | 78c | 239.38$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…5d08backed Yes | 19c | 233.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 50c | 222.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.3wins | -0.54per pick | 66cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 28c | 219.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194e…1833backed Yes | 31c | 213.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 24c | 210.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…6e84backed No | 75c | 208.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 21c | 201$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d5…6a7bbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…1047backed No | 51c | 197.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…5340backed No | 75c | 192.35$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…4d09backed No | 40c | 189.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…1633backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…8072backed Yes | 31c | 177.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 171.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…fadcbacked No | 75c | 169.49$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…953bbacked No | 75c | 167.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…c0cdbacked Yes | 20c | 166$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 19c | 161.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…a2cbbacked Yes | 19c | 155.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…4890backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d6…40febacked Yes | 68c | 147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ca…cc40backed Yes | 77c | 143.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 56c | 139.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…8106backed No | 73c | 137.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Yes | 68c | 136.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked No | 74c | 135.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…dde6backed Yes | 79c | 127.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968c…76c3backed Yes | 35c | 125.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 62c | 125.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…428fbacked No | 72c | 123.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b141backed Yes | 24c | 123.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.