TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9dd…c0cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst Olympics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.14
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.45
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.97
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.11
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.17
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$277.98
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.84
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.4
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.21
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+213.1%+$106.86
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.96
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.59
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.44
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.79
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+669.2%+$258.39
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$103.32
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+300%+$129.75
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.11
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$362.85
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$224.95
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+198.9%+$91.83
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.84
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.05
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.4
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+153.6%+$127.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.09
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.72
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.72
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$86.68
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$113.49
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$162.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+153.7%+$129.03
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$110.33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+124.7%+$371.23
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+214.3%+$156.13
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$176.07
LoL: FN Esports vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Hbacked FN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$161.27
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51.8
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.21
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52.15
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$112.06
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$188.78
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$79.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$117.26
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+68.4%+$73.1
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+296.1%+$409.66
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.6
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$56.94
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.34
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.6
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$434
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$196.98
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.08
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.86
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.16
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.57
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.18
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+78%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$67.41
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35.35
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+180.5%+$48.91
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.9%+$15.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$42.93
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+328.5%+$255.29
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$117.65
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+177.9%+$355.91
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$221.41
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.97
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$47.4
Will Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo record the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.14
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$85.72
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$74.42
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$34.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.95
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+194.5%+$71.33
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.45
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+89.7%+$255.3
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$97.07
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$210.6
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+172.2%+$370.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+161.1%+$37.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.46
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$65.63
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60.61
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,400 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$74.35
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.65
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+162.2%+$885.75
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$133.5
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$108.98
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$78.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+110.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+190.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$70.95
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+258.4%+$73.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.9%+$105.62
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$77.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$53.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+232.8%+$3,540.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+132.6%+$29.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$168.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.