Olympics · resolved market
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x841e8463bd6ddbf7948246b50726bec53606060ddec7b9ab0b0ec73ecef5e19f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof USA, Slovakia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,215,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,348,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,215,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Slovakia | 13c | 752,665$99,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,920.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Slovakia | 13c | 264,586$34,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,031.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…b5febacked Slovakia | 1c | 183,700$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Slovakia | 12c | 98,724$11,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,846.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Slovakia | 2c | 96,422$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Slovakia | 12c | 80,050$9,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,893.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Slovakia | 14c | 66,039$9,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,178.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Slovakia | 13c | 57,500$7,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,475 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Slovakia | 13c | 53,846$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Slovakia | 12c | 42,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Slovakia | 13c | 39,090$5,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.91 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…9231backed Slovakia | 10c | 31,675$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Slovakia | 12c | 30,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Slovakia | 12c | 30,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Slovakia | 12c | 27,312$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Slovakia | 12c | 25,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Slovakia | 12c | 23,543$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Slovakia | 12c | 22,267$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Slovakia | 12c | 19,767$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Slovakia | 6c | 19,284$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Slovakia | 13c | 17,493$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…6d55backed Slovakia | 1c | 16,967$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Slovakia | 12c | 16,268$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Slovakia | 13c | 16,224$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Slovakia | 12c | 16,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Slovakia | 10c | 15,928$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.49 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Slovakia | 13c | 15,385$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Slovakia | 12c | 13,748$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.24 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Slovakia | 13c | 13,259$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Slovakia | 12c | 11,928$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22f…65b5backed Slovakia | 1c | 11,577$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Slovakia | 13c | 11,538$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Slovakia | 0c | 10,334$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Slovakia | 12c | 10,283$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…dbf4backed Slovakia | 0c | 10,040$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Slovakia | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed Slovakia | 14c | 9,901$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Slovakia | 12c | 9,783$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…d1a2backed Slovakia | 1c | 9,737$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Slovakia | 13c | 9,471$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d3…0a4dbacked Slovakia | 11c | 9,341$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Slovakia | 13c | 9,280$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Slovakia | 13c | 8,884$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Slovakia | 2c | 8,542$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…0a20backed Slovakia | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Slovakia | 12c | 8,228$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Slovakia | 12c | 8,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a6…7189backed Slovakia | 10c | 7,979$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…9e01backed Slovakia | 12c | 7,979$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Slovakia | 12c | 7,680$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Slovakia | 12c | 7,631$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…47b0backed Slovakia | 12c | 7,321$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Slovakia | 12c | 6,842$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Slovakia | 10c | 6,752$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ec…f7b4backed Slovakia | 13c | 6,525$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Slovakia | 9c | 6,507$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed Slovakia | 13c | 6,465$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Slovakia | 13c | 6,359$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…ffd6backed Slovakia | 12c | 6,272$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Slovakia | 12c | 6,108$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…d2cebacked Slovakia | 12c | 6,044$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Slovakia | 13c | 6,019$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Slovakia | 12c | 5,817$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Slovakia | 12c | 5,555$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Slovakia | 12c | 5,247$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Slovakia | 4c | 5,042$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Slovakia | 12c | 5,012$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Slovakia | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Slovakia | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Slovakia | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Slovakia | 12c | 4,855$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…6548backed Slovakia | 4c | 4,842$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…f8f1backed Slovakia | 11c | 4,762$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Slovakia | 13c | 4,730$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.64 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Slovakia | 12c | 4,663$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…1d05backed Slovakia | 2c | 4,532$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Slovakia | 5c | 4,496$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde68…d2aabacked Slovakia | 12c | 4,285$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Slovakia | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Slovakia | 12c | 4,133$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Slovakia | 13c | 3,849$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Slovakia | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Slovakia | 0c | 3,726$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +596.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…63f3backed Slovakia | 1c | 3,658$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…9accbacked Slovakia | 14c | 3,634$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Slovakia | 8c | 3,600$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Slovakia | 6c | 3,595$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Slovakia | 12c | 3,503$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…ae3ebacked Slovakia | 13c | 3,462$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Slovakia | 9c | 3,223$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Slovakia | 14c | 3,206$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.88 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…f991backed Slovakia | 7c | 3,074$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe495…4a5bbacked Slovakia | 0c | 3,026$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…b36abacked Slovakia | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Slovakia | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Slovakia | 3c | 2,747$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Slovakia | 13c | 2,708$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…4656backed Slovakia | 3c | 2,659$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f70…fbb1backed Slovakia | 11c | 2,654$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da3…fd6ebacked Slovakia | 14c | 2,585$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.