TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a24…4a1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT4452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$446
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,488.66
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$667.57
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,654.28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,684.87
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,561Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,560.94
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,874Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+193.6%+$11,372.22
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,364.01
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,624Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,440.53
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$5,747.14
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$2,300
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,400
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$207.14
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,816Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$3,079.04
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs WW Team (BO3) - JB Pro League Season 2 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$463.52
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$309
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,018Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,522.35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+105.1%+$170.21
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$762.29
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,568Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$3,308.01
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,514.49
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,856.31
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.55
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,555.81
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,894Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$13,753.47
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,997.87
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,780.01
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$5,625
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,500
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,994.18
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,667Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$11,352.14
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,948Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$3,121.76
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,313.02
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.35
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13,184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+58%+$7,643.89
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$819.21
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,721Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$2,306.29
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,687.5
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,703.58
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,804Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,201.8
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,042Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+67.5%+$1,378.31
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,965Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$2,230.65
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$145
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,481.44
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,092.29
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,421.24
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,215.91
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,800.14
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,475.79
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$2,563.92
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$690.54
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$2,722.83
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,179.13
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.07
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Ugo Humbertbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,557.53
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$528.15
Miami Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tomas Machacbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,445.5
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Flavio Cobollibacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,440.28
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Yibing Wubacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,668.36
Miami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machacbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,565.23
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+123%+$1,389.03
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$353.57
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+138.1%+$8,717.12
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
BNP Paribas Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$159.65
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$225.9
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-48.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,107
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,847Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,251.45
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,610.84
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$6,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,400.12
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,507.34
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,554.91
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,811.82
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,062.02
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,772.83
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,605Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$3,474.16
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,410.94
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,624Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$4,428.88
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,622.08
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$805.72
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,231.34
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,443Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,562.91
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,060.55
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,077.38
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,705.82
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,366Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+114.1%+$3,838.96
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$633.17
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$555.34
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.93
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.09
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$850.61
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,972.08
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$622.81
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.43
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$92.82
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+489.3%+$554.52
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.05
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,175
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,576.42
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,692Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$1,388.7
LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,377.62
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,740
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,180
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+70.2%+$1,403.65
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,405Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+115%+$1,615.8
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$625.64
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,929.56
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$405
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+38.8%+$203.48
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$144.32
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,298.38
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$207.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,715.73
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,010Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,394.68
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,439Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$5,237.63
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$9,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,688.39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,878.69
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+257.1%+$11,574
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$381.52
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,910Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.1%+$2,371.69
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$2,680
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,833.83
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$612.41
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,575.24
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,809Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$4,206.69
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$1,455.52
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,917Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+157%+$6,150.21
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+252.1%+$4,538.1
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,084.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,462.96
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,984Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+196.5%+$15,685.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,708.68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$10,009.56
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$2,800.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,202.72
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,315.71
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$7,658.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.6%+$474.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,880.07
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,211.77
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$5,440.93
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$182.88
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,909Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$5,495.89
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,548Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,487.15
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,011.13
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$360.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,693Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$11,396.97
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,964.29
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+93.2%+$6,618.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,712Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,373.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$320
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.