Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f691c3c2c3bf2168848fe33e4d40ba5a22377068797a116ba104363097dbdda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,583,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,775,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,583,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 672 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 73c | 206,649$151,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,958.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Yes | 71c | 170,595$120,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,015.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 27c | 119,372$32,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,252.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 26c | 115,000$29,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,899.9 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 75c | 101,537$76,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,112.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 72c | 98,756$71,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,401.28 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 28c | 75,344$20,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,974.06 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 29c | 52,560$15,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,332.35 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 73c | 39,449$28,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,617.44 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 72c | 38,010$27,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,636.22 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 74c | 34,450$25,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,957.11 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 26c | 33,280$8,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,652.7 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 28c | 30,057$8,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,317.95 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 74c | 29,532$21,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,678.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 28c | 29,115$8,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,211.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked No | 27c | 28,332$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 30c | 23,531$7,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020.69 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 29c | 21,450$6,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,220.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 26c | 18,888$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.87 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…a6b2backed No | 28c | 18,306$5,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,086.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 14c | 17,898$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 29c | 17,722$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.36 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 28c | 17,642$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 17,483$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.38 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 27c | 17,094$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615.38 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 15,677$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.84 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 73c | 15,191$11,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 71c | 14,923$10,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.85 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 14,200$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 27c | 13,700$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 29c | 13,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.96 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 77c | 12,174$9,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 69c | 11,513$7,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 28c | 11,417$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 28c | 11,260$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.68 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 70c | 11,223$7,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 27c | 10,875$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 31c | 10,576$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 29c | 10,411$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 73c | 9,876$7,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.4 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 72c | 9,699$7,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.34 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 30c | 9,072$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 72c | 9,037$6,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 30c | 8,820$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 31c | 8,760$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked No | 28c | 8,156$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 28c | 8,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.97 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 28c | 7,899$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 29c | 7,754$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 29c | 7,659$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.17 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 28c | 7,012$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.35 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 28c | 6,937$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 73c | 6,738$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 30c | 6,706$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.84 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 27c | 6,464$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 74c | 6,399$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.64 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 74c | 6,290$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.12 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 75c | 5,898$4,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 29c | 5,855$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 5,705$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.49 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 31c | 5,658$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.96 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 69c | 4,978$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.22 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 69c | 4,918$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.86 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 74c | 4,470$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.12 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 73c | 4,043$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 74c | 3,991$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.61 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 74c | 3,972$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.73 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 73c | 3,935$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 73c | 3,893$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 70c | 3,668$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.53 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 71c | 3,545$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 3,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.03 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 28c | 3,455$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 15c | 3,193$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.95 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 73c | 3,173$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.76 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 26c | 3,120$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 71c | 3,001$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.4 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 26c | 3,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 23c | 2,882$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.92 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 29c | 2,872$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.94 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 73c | 2,755$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 77c | 2,710$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.07 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 74c | 2,693$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.89 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 28c | 2,558$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 27c | 2,533$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.99 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 29c | 2,524$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.11 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 25c | 2,480$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.9 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 74c | 2,402$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.62 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 28c | 2,096$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.81 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 26c | 2,070$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 70c | 2,062$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed No | 30c | 2,016$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 74c | 2,011$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 27c | 2,008$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.21 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Yes | 74c | 2,001$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 70c | 1,994$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.11 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes | 75c | 1,970$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.