TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87a1…b6ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$777.78
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$2,791
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6,535.21
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13,474.34
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11,746.03
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19,617Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$13,098.83
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6,312.86
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,376
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,544
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24,607Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$8,722.21
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24,565Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10,033.59
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17,579Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11,238.9
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,703.67
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,959.68
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22,833Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$9,495.06
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26,838Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7,569.65
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,808.36
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15,367Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$11,902.91
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,895Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$11,872.48
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11,868.75
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13,478.26
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,000
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6,222.22
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,347.83
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,901.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,142.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14,482.76
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30,000
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8,000
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14,062.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$941.18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$5,579.37
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$3,900
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$2,538.37
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$14,811.9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,556.95
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$1,626.85
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
AEK Lárnakas vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$7,911.14
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,936.51
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$587.3
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5,625
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,281.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19,436Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17,235.7
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$5,822.27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11,746.03
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,720
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$4,344.83
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+123%+$14,765.19
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8,169.01
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940.6
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4,705.88
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2,820.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$664.56
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$538.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.