Fifa International · resolved market
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9e9708cbb0b71025beea487ab6aba306c90276096542bf87b98c6f2eb7ca010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $654,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $707,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $654,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 66,678$9,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,193.02 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 21c | 60,947$13,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,023.43 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 78c | 42,478$33,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,345.16 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Yes | 79c | 25,317$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 22c | 25,281$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,480.72 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 77c | 25,196$19,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed No | 0c | 24,636$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 21c | 21,382$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.64 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 21c | 20,112$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.44 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 22c | 18,888$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.35 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 22c | 14,945$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.92 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes | 79c | 13,165$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.56 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 78c | 12,821$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 79c | 12,567$9,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.01 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 78c | 11,477$8,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 21c | 10,218$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…5741backed No | 23c | 9,110$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 22c | 9,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed No | 11c | 9,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed No | 22c | 8,820$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 23c | 8,799$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.73 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 22c | 8,260$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.14 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 7,010$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.46 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 21c | 6,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.98 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 24c | 5,938$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 31c | 5,934$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.65 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 22c | 5,707$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.95 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Yes | 78c | 5,001$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Yes | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 22c | 4,973$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.14 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 24c | 4,485$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.02 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 22c | 4,444$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 71c | 4,223$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.6 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 34c | 3,965$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…99f3backed Yes | 78c | 3,961$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 78c | 3,846$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.15 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Yes | 79c | 3,798$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 22c | 3,231$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.82 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 77c | 3,052$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.04 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 78c | 3,052$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.44 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 21c | 2,982$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.25 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,954$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 76c | 2,892$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.14 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 78c | 2,700$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.04 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 22c | 2,695$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.48 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 77c | 2,604$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.89 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…aaa0backed Yes | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 22c | 2,400$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 22c | 2,400$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 22c | 2,292$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.91 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 2,273$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.87 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 25c | 2,208$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 79c | 2,090$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 22c | 2,040$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 74c | 2,024$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.13 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 23c | 1,935$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 72c | 1,932$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.97 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 80c | 1,903$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.27 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 67c | 1,888$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.06 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Yes | 78c | 1,714$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.98 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,671$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…a549backed No | 31c | 1,665$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 23c | 1,640$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.8 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…c345backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 24c | 1,431$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.39 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Yes | 78c | 1,412$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 1,324$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,317$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.93 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 24c | 1,312$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…1a99backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,290$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…78f6backed Yes | 78c | 1,279$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…f43cbacked No | 23c | 1,209$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 23c | 1,151$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.72 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,128$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes | 70c | 1,083$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…85b7backed Yes | 78c | 1,030$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780e…e99cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 21c | 999.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 77c | 999.99$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed No | 23c | 936.09$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…3d77backed No | 23c | 934.78$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…7688backed Yes | 76c | 921.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…6af8backed Yes | 77c | 912.86$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 15c | 900.87$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?this page
- Will Italy vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?No won
- Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-03-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.