Fifa International · resolved market
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-03-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x153be3e3c13b9da0bd395b8df04df30d5ef4a7d4c3f59b46286b81f042955901
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 5c | 22,165$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.34 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Yes | 7c | 18,099$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.92 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 10,080$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 7c | 9,674$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.16 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 6c | 9,507$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.58 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 1c | 8,669$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,181$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 7c | 3,975$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f8…d7d3backed Yes | 6c | 2,592$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05dc…1cffbacked Yes | 6c | 2,456$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…43a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Yes | 7c | 2,183$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…112ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,155$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 5c | 1,983$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…0aa8backed Yes | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Yes | 6c | 1,600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…1902backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…c4d1backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…a5b1backed Yes | 7c | 1,419$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 5c | 1,256$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…e5d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,237$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed Yes | 9c | 1,226$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 1,217$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 6c | 1,112$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 4c | 965.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…8156backed Yes | 1c | 911.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…5acdbacked Yes | 1c | 910.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…3969backed Yes | 7c | 893.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…9a50backed Yes | 6c | 795.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 7c | 719.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed Yes | 7c | 679.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…95a9backed Yes | 8c | 613.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…1480backed Yes | 6c | 589.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 7c | 542.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 518.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 7c | 511.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 8c | 510.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe55e…f60ebacked Yes | 7c | 501.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 496.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8b…ce2abacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…fdfdbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 4c | 420$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 401$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…4551backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Yes | 5c | 374.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…4774backed Yes | 7c | 363.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…5269backed Yes | 7c | 362.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90b…3b03backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 6c | 350.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…9c14backed Yes | 4c | 346.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 4c | 340.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…4035backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 7c | 333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 7c | 331$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…ca15backed Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…d31cbacked Yes | 7c | 312.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…21adbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…3cd2backed Yes | 7c | 296.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 5c | 295$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…c4b8backed Yes | 5c | 294.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfa…2dd7backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…276dbacked Yes | 7c | 285$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes | 6c | 266.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 6c | 262.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 7c | 257$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3038…fdebbacked Yes | 7c | 214.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…f555backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 7c | 211.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 5c | 200.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8c06backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4170…32edbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…b5cfbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 199.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5e…1582backed Yes | 6c | 191.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…c6f0backed Yes | 7c | 169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 7c | 158.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…80c8backed Yes | 7c | 158$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 149$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…3752backed Yes | 7c | 148.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2595…aa0fbacked Yes | 7c | 147.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-03-26?this page
- Will Italy vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?No won
- Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.