TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ace…95a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.8
Will Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$562.5
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+312.6%+$495.57
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$146.46
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+142.6%+$371.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,029Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,071
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$552
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+57.2%+$1,239.16
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,068.04
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.28
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,034.45
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$217.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$455.38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$500
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,848Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,000.53
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,056
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,049Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+65.9%+$1,351
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$377.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+70.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+167.6%+$737.63
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+174.8%+$270.34
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.8
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$3,164.44
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+525%+$268.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+107.9%+$8,941.84
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,884Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+54.8%+$1,031.87
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,131.92
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,886.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-75.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Barcelona vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. BC Dubaibacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$270
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$738.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$125.92
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.