La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fc4233a4b83e10430f2a1698a79846005c92d5bc381593c41770fb3e21e9ba4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $462,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 60c | 99,188$60,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,183.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 40c | 80,002$31,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,655.37 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 62c | 39,403$24,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,973.23 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 39c | 33,094$12,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,744.85 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 40c | 28,492$11,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,381.52 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 39c | 20,936$8,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,165.04 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 71c | 20,539$14,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,961.61 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 20,024$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,822.39 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 19,144$7,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.15 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 60c | 12,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…931abacked Yes | 63c | 11,781$7,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 79c | 9,950$7,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.57 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 38c | 9,899$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 78c | 9,870$7,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 62c | 9,772$6,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.36 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…11cabacked Yes | 62c | 8,991$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 8,669$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 28c | 8,408$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.21 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 38c | 7,318$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 62c | 7,010$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.67 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed No | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 5,104$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.88 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 38c | 5,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 61c | 4,904$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.64 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…381abacked Yes | 62c | 4,564$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 65c | 4,254$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.79 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 60c | 3,904$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.6 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 61c | 3,630$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.51 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 3,371$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.13 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 39c | 2,964$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.08 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 61c | 2,930$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.62 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 38c | 2,695$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.67 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 60c | 2,541$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.55 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 61c | 2,499$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.59 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.4 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 62c | 1,863$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Yes | 63c | 1,830$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.89 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Yes | 63c | 1,760$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,502$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.74 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 1,491$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 28c | 1,425$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.1 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 64c | 1,304$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.51 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 38c | 1,223$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.76 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 61c | 1,219$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.37 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 16c | 1,152$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 39c | 1,112$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 1,074$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.15 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked No | 24c | 1,074$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 61c | 1,074$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.96 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 75c | 992.58$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 39c | 982.67$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.24 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked No | 40c | 964$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 38c | 904.39$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.67 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 847.81$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.65 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Yes | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Yes | 76c | 722.42$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.92 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 63c | 674.68$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 21c | 636.29$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed Yes | 61c | 635.94$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Yes | 61c | 594.1$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 39c | 568.88$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.43 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…95a9backed Yes | 61c | 564.5$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 38c | 555$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 38c | 549.39$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.97 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 79c | 513.45$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes | 61c | 509.62$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 61c | 499.91$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 61c | 488.3$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 38c | 487.73$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 38c | 486.07$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 62c | 484.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 61c | 480.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 39c | 476.23$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.73 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 39c | 465.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Yes | 62c | 463.21$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 21c | 454.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 39c | 453.09$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed No | 39c | 441.83$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…469fbacked Yes | 62c | 401.91$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 60c | 399.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 61c | 399.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 62c | 395.61$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.33 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 62c | 394.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 61c | 385.48$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 37c | 359.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 102 | 68.6%70 W · 32 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 38c | 347.38$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.